Originally posted by Ming
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Who do you tip to win the US presidential election
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Post has Trump at +4 in Florida, 538 have Florida as 59/41 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ecast/florida/ ).
Post has Trump as +1 in Arizona, 538 has Arizona as 62/38 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ecast/arizona/ ).
Post has Biden as +9 Pennsylvania/NYT has Biden as +9 in Pennsylvania/Fox News has Biden at +7 in Pennsylvania, 538 has 79/21 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com.../pennsylvania/ ).
Marist has Biden at +10 in Wisconsin, 538 has 81/19 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ast/wisconsin/ ).
No recent A polls of Minnesota, 538 has 88/12 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ast/minnesota/ ).
Marist has Biden at +8 in Michigan according to 538, they have Michigan as 86/14 Biden (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...cast/michigan/ ).
Emerson has Biden at +2 in North Carolina according to 538, they have North Carolina as 53/47 Biden (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/north-carolina/).
Fox News has Biden at +11 in Nevada according to 538, they have Nevada as 82/18 Biden (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...recast/nevada/).
Fox News has Biden at +5 in Ohio according to 538, they have Ohio as 52/48 Biden (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...forecast/ohio/).
538 currently has 78/21 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/ ) based primarily on these states.
JMJon Miller-
I AM.CANADIAN
GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.
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BTW, 538 gives Trump about 10% chance to win EC and lose popular vote and about a 10% chance to win both the EC and popular vote. The latter I think is unreasonable and does not match the real uncertainty involved. Basically, I think that 538 is inflating uncertainty to hedge to make them appear as more reasonable and careful.
I think that the Economists 87/13 Biden is probably more accurate (https://projects.economist.com/us-20...cast/president).
I think that 338 agrees with 538 and not the Economist or myself, they give 75/25 Biden (https://338canada.com/usa/).
JMJon Miller-
I AM.CANADIAN
GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.
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Kyle Rittenhouse, the Kenosha shooter, has the same attorney that Nick Sandman had. His attorney is planning to sue Joe Biden for calling KR a white supremacist. Maybe Creepy Joe falsely accused the wrong kid this time.
I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
- Justice Brett Kavanaugh
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I love how some Republicans are whining about how unfair it is that most dems refuse to meet with Amy Barrett.
What total hypocrisy after the crap they pulled by even refusing to consider Obama's choice.
It's not like it's going to make any real difference. Instead, they are acting like sore winners.
Keep on Civin'
RIP rah, Tony Bogey & Baron O
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Trump motorcade drive by. So dumb it was probably Oerdin's idea.
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