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Who do you tip to win the US presidential election

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  • Originally posted by Ming View Post
    And that is proof of NOTHING. Just yours and other trumpettes rants
    Trump has shown far more examples of not being in the same reality as the rest of humanity. And blaming his inability to negotiate a ramp because of his "rubber soles"
    But then again, keep trying to spread the BS spoon fed to you by the Alt Right Fake news sites. The more educated voters will just laugh

    I would like to raise a very important point here.

    I think a "trumpette" is a female supporter of Trump.

    A male supporter of Trump would surely be a "trumpet".

    Am I correct?

    Comment


    • A male supporter of Trump would be a jockstrap.
      Apolyton's Grim Reaper 2008, 2010 & 2011
      RIP lest we forget... SG (2) and LaFayette -- Civ2 Succession Games Brothers-in-Arms

      Comment


      • Uncle Sparky
        Uncle Sparky commented
        Editing a comment
        Can't we just agree to call them deplorables?

      • -Jrabbit
        -Jrabbit commented
        Editing a comment
        No, absolutely not. It motivates them. Look what happened to Hillary.

      • Dauphin
        Dauphin commented
        Editing a comment
        Maybe call them gammon (fat, overweight white men, whose faces turn puffed up red when angry). Maybe call roving bands of Trump supporters a bunch of Hillaries instead - really confuse the hell out them.

    • Update on important polls (538 A rating):
      Marist has Pennsylvania at Biden +9 but Florida at Even
      Monmouth has Florida at Biden +4
      Emerson has Wisconsin at Biden +6
      NYT has Wisconsin at Biden +5 and Minnesota at Biden +9

      No A poll update for Arizona or Michigan.

      JM
      Jon Miller-
      I AM.CANADIAN
      GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.

      Comment


      • Jon Miller,

        All I have seen so far is ZERO citations in any of your poasts the past few months, possible even all year. Quite simply, this is unacceptable. I insist in the strongest possible way for you to poast a citation to back up your walls-of-poasts with some sort of factual back-up.

        Thank you.
        להזמין ש‬ל הזבוב, Trained by Ba'al.
        Giuliani/Lindell 2024.

        Comment


        • A citation is not the same as a link. I did cite a source (538). Googling the website and going to the website and looking at recent polls is something anyone can do.

          JM
          Jon Miller-
          I AM.CANADIAN
          GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.

          Comment


          • Please use citations according to Chicago.

            Thanks.
            Indifference is Bliss

            Comment


            • Please use citations.

              To support my poast, here is a citation to clown suits. You can buy one to wear to a presidential debate..

              https://www.blossomcostumes.com.au/t...cessories.html

              Comment


              • Professor Allan Lichtman is predicting Trump will lose. He has correctly called every election since 1984. His model is an interesting one though and I am not sure it will continue to work. It doesn’t use polls, it doesn’t really use any specifics, it just asks extremely general questions which he then answers for himself.
                Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                Comment


                • It doesn't seem like a very scientific model.

                  JM
                  Jon Miller-
                  I AM.CANADIAN
                  GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.

                  Comment


                  • I agree though some how it works or at least has in the past. We shall see if it continues to work.
                    Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                    Comment


                    • That's just 9 elections, most of which were easily predictable. Hell, it only takes, on average, 2050 sets of 10 coin flips to achieve 10 in a row.

                      Not saying his model doesn't work, just that there is an element of luck involved - like the 2000 outcome being decided by the Supreme Court instead of the actual ballot count.
                      Apolyton's Grim Reaper 2008, 2010 & 2011
                      RIP lest we forget... SG (2) and LaFayette -- Civ2 Succession Games Brothers-in-Arms

                      Comment


                      • I honestly still don’t know what to make of the polls. Some show Biden up 8 points nationally, one shows Trump up 2 points, and even trying to figure out which one is more reliable isn’t so straight forward. In 2016 538 had rated Rasmussen as not very reliable yet they called the election results better than any other polling firm.

                        Now you throw on states closing thousands of polling stations, states mailing ballots to millions of people including people they know are dead or moved away and... Well, everything is truly going to be a crap show. That is before we even get into the Democrats threats about riots and “street fights”.

                        The thing that truly pisses me off is Democrats are passing laws saying signature varification cannot be used. I see absolutely no reason to do that except that Democrats want to cheat. What do we do when one party clearly seeks to cheat on elections? I don’t want it but I think war is the only alternative given one side clearlybwantsbtoboiebabdbcheat. God help us all.
                        Last edited by Dinner; September 20, 2020, 21:04.
                        Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Jon Miller View Post
                          A citation is not the same as a link. I did cite a source (538). Googling the website and going to the website and looking at recent polls is something anyone can do.

                          JM

                          You have not provided a citation to back up the claims you are making in this poast.

                          Comment


                          • No A polls since last time of Florida according to 538, they have Florida as 60/40 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ecast/florida/ ).

                            NYT has Biden as +9 in Arizona, 538 has Arizona as 67/33 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ecast/arizona/ ).

                            No A polls since last time of Pennsylvania, 538 has 76/24 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com.../pennsylvania/ ).

                            Post has Biden at +6 in Wisconsin, 538 has 80/20 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ast/wisconsin/ ).

                            Post has Biden at +16 in Minnesota, 538 has 88/12 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ast/minnesota/ ).

                            No A polls since last time of Michigan according to 538, they have Michigan as 88/12 Biden (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...cast/michigan/ ).

                            538 currently has 77/23 Biden ( https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tion-forecast/ ) based primarily on these 6 states.

                            JM
                            Jon Miller-
                            I AM.CANADIAN
                            GENERATION 35: The first time you see this, copy it into your sig on any forum and add 1 to the generation. Social experiment.

                            Comment


                            • Braindead
                              Braindead commented
                              Editing a comment
                              Yikes! I will never ask you for a citation again.

                          • So, the 338 is the Canadian equivalent of the US 538. The big difference is they are purely statistical and do not allow political commentary. Their ranges are usually right. This year, for the first time, they are analyzing the polls on a US presidential election. They weigh the polls based on the methodology used. After a brief post convention bump, Trump is falling. He'd really better hurry up and rig the vote if he wants to stay out of prison.

                            https://338canada.com/usa/?fbclid=Iw...s53KoXezQ3PiZ4
                            Last edited by Uncle Sparky; September 22, 2020, 18:08.
                            There's nothing wrong with the dream, my friend, the problem lies with the dreamer.

                            Comment

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