I found this to be an interesting analysis of the political calculus of the current situation:
September 17 at 9:23 PM ·
If the senate confirms Kavanaugh, Republicans will lose the senate. Mitch McConnell knows this. He also knows what that will mean to Trump. Two more years to fill all the federal judgeships is his priority. This is a highly educated and credible woman. She took a polygraph that Brett Kavanaugh will never take. Her therapist has notes of her telling them about this traumatic event in her life. When she testifies before the judiciary committee, she will make a compelling case.
Kavanaugh is the most unpopular nominee ever because despite all the lies and perjury he has already committed, the fact of the matter is that Republicans cannot afford to overturn Roe. Mitch McConnell or any of the rest of the Republicans do not give a rat's ass about abortion rights except for the really brain-damaged loons like Rafael Cruz and Jim Inhofe. Republicans *need* for abortion to be legal because that's what turns out the evangelicals. Take that dog-whistle away and it's going to be a lot harder to turn them out.
Mitch knows all of this. He's as shrewd and evil as any man ever. I know this man. Mitch knows the House is gone. He has a chance to hold onto the Senate. If we do win the senate by 1 or 2 then he can still get Joe Minchin and a couple of others to approve their judicial nominees. If he dumps Kavanaugh, he can fill the judiciary with another 100 judges of his choosing. He filibustered as many judges as possible under Obama. There were just over 300 vacancies in the federal courts when Obama left office and since Trump was elected, they have put through more judicial nominees than ever. Just about every yahoo with a law degree that they could find has made it through.
So what's Mitch going to do? Lose the senate majority for Kavanaugh and give up another 150 judgeships AND throw away the Republicans' favorite Vote generator? This is where Jeff Flake and Bob Corker could be extremely useful to McConnell. They're going out anyway. McConnell put in a provision into the tax scam to specifically benefit Corker which will give Corker millions. McConnell also doesn't want to hand Democrats a wonderful weapon of a bunch of old white men treating this woman like they treated Anita Hill.
If Kavanaugh does overturn Roe, Republicans will not recover from that Tsunami and they will lose at least 3 generations of women. Confirming Kavanaugh would ensure that the Republican party would be a permanent minority. That's what's at stake. Now McConnell has to wake at least two senators up to that fact. He's not one to do the deed himself but the Butcher's Bill is about to come due when Mueller releases his next volley of indictments right soon.
Thomas Clay Jr.
If the senate confirms Kavanaugh, Republicans will lose the senate. Mitch McConnell knows this. He also knows what that will mean to Trump. Two more years to fill all the federal judgeships is his priority. This is a highly educated and credible woman. She took a polygraph that Brett Kavanaugh will never take. Her therapist has notes of her telling them about this traumatic event in her life. When she testifies before the judiciary committee, she will make a compelling case.
Kavanaugh is the most unpopular nominee ever because despite all the lies and perjury he has already committed, the fact of the matter is that Republicans cannot afford to overturn Roe. Mitch McConnell or any of the rest of the Republicans do not give a rat's ass about abortion rights except for the really brain-damaged loons like Rafael Cruz and Jim Inhofe. Republicans *need* for abortion to be legal because that's what turns out the evangelicals. Take that dog-whistle away and it's going to be a lot harder to turn them out.
Mitch knows all of this. He's as shrewd and evil as any man ever. I know this man. Mitch knows the House is gone. He has a chance to hold onto the Senate. If we do win the senate by 1 or 2 then he can still get Joe Minchin and a couple of others to approve their judicial nominees. If he dumps Kavanaugh, he can fill the judiciary with another 100 judges of his choosing. He filibustered as many judges as possible under Obama. There were just over 300 vacancies in the federal courts when Obama left office and since Trump was elected, they have put through more judicial nominees than ever. Just about every yahoo with a law degree that they could find has made it through.
So what's Mitch going to do? Lose the senate majority for Kavanaugh and give up another 150 judgeships AND throw away the Republicans' favorite Vote generator? This is where Jeff Flake and Bob Corker could be extremely useful to McConnell. They're going out anyway. McConnell put in a provision into the tax scam to specifically benefit Corker which will give Corker millions. McConnell also doesn't want to hand Democrats a wonderful weapon of a bunch of old white men treating this woman like they treated Anita Hill.
If Kavanaugh does overturn Roe, Republicans will not recover from that Tsunami and they will lose at least 3 generations of women. Confirming Kavanaugh would ensure that the Republican party would be a permanent minority. That's what's at stake. Now McConnell has to wake at least two senators up to that fact. He's not one to do the deed himself but the Butcher's Bill is about to come due when Mueller releases his next volley of indictments right soon.
Thomas Clay Jr.
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