Aggie, it always amazes me how you are 90 percent right and then the last 10 percent really pushes you away.
Correct.
Also correct.
That's one of the most important parts of the system. Each individual is permitted to vote according to their own conscience.
This is also an excellent insight. The act of casting a ballot is in itself a decision. I would disagree with this act, but I would also agree that people should only vote if they are also free to not vote. Compulsory voting is a bad thing.
This is where you are lead astray.
If all these other presuppositions are true, then the only influence we can have is in our ballot. We only vote once, and our ballot has the same amount of influence as anyone elses.
Of course there are exceptions to this principle, at least in the Westminster system, every one within a riding has an equal say, while ridings themselves will vary with the proportion of those who live, such that those who live in rural areas have a much higher proportion of the voting power, then those in urban areas.
Which happens in many places.
Also true. You are batting a 1000 so far Aggie.
Now, here's where the insight comes in Aggie. How does your turning in to vote have any more of an influence on the overall result then your choice to vote against him?
Your vote for him, doesn't count any more then the vote against him. They are precisely equal. Being the last vote in a landslide is just as meaningless as voting for the opposition.
The same is true of a close election. Your vote gains influence on the outcome, but the value of your vote remains the same. Voting for the loser in a close election, your vote has the same weight as if you were to vote for the winner.
There's the second wrong conclusion. The only way you have any influence at all is to vote. That's it. That's the only way you can influence the outcome. If you cannot choose which riding you vote, there is only one rational choice, and that is to vote for the candidate closest to your own beliefs.
I would disagree. Minor parties do take notice at the votes that are given to them to a much greater proportion then the big parties. If you are willing to sacrifice your vote, then it is in your best interest to vote for a smaller party over the larger, just because your vote has proportionally more influence over the small party's total then it would otherwise.
That is also true. If you lose an hour's pay, is your vote worth the 20 dollars you are losing in order to vote, not accounting for gas? That will depend on the individual.
Anyways, I think that your vote counts the same regardless of who you vote for, or whether you are voting in a landslide or not. The only way to have any influence is to vote, and to decline to vote does not increase your influence, unless there are sufficient reasons that would not accord you the time to vote on election day.
No individual has the right to vote in the aggregate
no aggregate has the right to vote as an aggregate (a community having one vote).
In democracies, we individuals vote as individuals.
Not voting is also expressing a preference: the judgement that it isn't worth the bother, or the judgement that democracy is a load of tosh, or that one would rather spend the day fishing or suchlike (we can't say that a choice not to vote is a choice to delegitimize the system any more than we can say that voting legitimizes it – when GePap realizes this, he will be ashamed of himself for saying the opposite).
You're missing the point of the argument, which is: what purpose is there in voting if one's vote will not effect the outcome.
If all these other presuppositions are true, then the only influence we can have is in our ballot. We only vote once, and our ballot has the same amount of influence as anyone elses.
Of course there are exceptions to this principle, at least in the Westminster system, every one within a riding has an equal say, while ridings themselves will vary with the proportion of those who live, such that those who live in rural areas have a much higher proportion of the voting power, then those in urban areas.
Here's a real case. When I was first eligible to vote, I lived in a district that was predominantly rural and a "safe" district for the New Zealand National (Conservative) Party.
No rational person who knew about the area and was aware of the polls could believe anything other than that Roger McCLay, the National candidate, would win.
My turning up to vote against him would make zero difference.
Your vote for him, doesn't count any more then the vote against him. They are precisely equal. Being the last vote in a landslide is just as meaningless as voting for the opposition.
The same is true of a close election. Your vote gains influence on the outcome, but the value of your vote remains the same. Voting for the loser in a close election, your vote has the same weight as if you were to vote for the winner.
Therefore, there was no point in voting.
Turning up to vote for a third party candidate has about as much effect as expressing interest in purchasing something when you don't have the cash and will never have it.
Given these facts, it makes little sense to criticize people for being apathetic. It's not apathy per se, but just a recognition that one's time is better spent elsewhere than on currently hopeless tasks.
Anyways, I think that your vote counts the same regardless of who you vote for, or whether you are voting in a landslide or not. The only way to have any influence is to vote, and to decline to vote does not increase your influence, unless there are sufficient reasons that would not accord you the time to vote on election day.
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