Prediction Thread: When Will Ukraine Conquer Russia

[BeBMan]

Russian warship successfully intercepted Ukrainian naval drone.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66402046

[BeBMan]

So reports everywhere of intense fighting but the front is fairly stagnant. It is all coming down to the irresistible force versus the immovable object. Limited aircraft from both sides(aside from drones of course). This is truly a 1918 fight with 2023 weapons. This is beginning to resemble the Battle of The Somme....

Spring 1918 the Kaiserreich was sooo optimistic, because they just defeated Russia in '17 and thought the released manpower would get the job done in the west.

[My Wife Hates CIV]

This thread is like when will Trump be taken down? How about never. Still..
fun to watch those with tds try. Hahaga

[Geronimo]

So reports everywhere of intense fighting but the front is fairly stagnant. It is all coming down to the irresistible force versus the immovable object. Limited aircraft from both sides(aside from drones of course). This is truly a 1918 fight with 2023 weapons. This is beginning to resemble the Battle of The Somme....

All of that favors Russia to win

[PLATO]

So reports everywhere of intense fighting but the front is fairly stagnant. It is all coming down to the irresistible force versus the immovable object. Limited aircraft from both sides(aside from drones of course). This is truly a 1918 fight with 2023 weapons. This is beginning to resemble the Battle of The Somme....

[Berzerker]

ask any Crimeans if they want to be ruled by Azov

[The Mad Monk]

Do you mean the original Crimeans, or do you mean the Crimeans the Russians replaced them with?

[Bereta_Eder]

ukrainian drones attacked moscow

and there is no global themonuclear war


strange

[Uncle Sparky]

I have won land wars in Asia.

[Berzerker]

ya'll think Crimeans want to live under Azov's rule?

[Dauphin]

I think '95% failure still means 1/20 explode, and there are millions'

[pchang]

5% failure still means 19/20 explode.

[Geronimo]

I guess it will depend on how effective Ukraine has been at destroying Russian artillery (they've been blowing up a huge amount for the past three months or so, mostly in the south and east), how depleted Russian reserves are (reportedly, they've been reinforcing the front line and trying to yield as little as possible, have very few reserves left in many areas, and have a lot of troops sent to try and advance in northern Lugansk), and if the Ukrainians have found a way to effectively deal with minefields (this is the one I doubt the most).

I guess we'll see in the coming weeks.

Perhaps if the failure rate of Russia's mines is anywhere near as high as their other munitions Ukraine's sappers will have a bit more room for error

[N35t0r]

I guess it will depend on how effective Ukraine has been at destroying Russian artillery (they've been blowing up a huge amount for the past three months or so, mostly in the south and east), how depleted Russian reserves are (reportedly, they've been reinforcing the front line and trying to yield as little as possible, have very few reserves left in many areas, and have a lot of troops sent to try and advance in northern Lugansk), and if the Ukrainians have found a way to effectively deal with minefields (this is the one I doubt the most).

I guess we'll see in the coming weeks.

[BeBMan]

Maybe this is the push south mentioned above

Or it is the Ukrainian counteroffensive which already failed, according to Putin yesterday (? or so)