Prediction Thread: When Will Ukraine Conquer Russia

[Serb]

Interesting video, though, I think some russian made a brainfart when placing the main fuel tank on the BMP-1

With 600 000 active troops, trained and supplied by the West for 7 years, in 2022 Ukranian army was indeed the best army in Europe, both in terms of military personel and the amount of hardware.
WHERE IS IT NOW?
Suking Russian coks?
With 257 thousand of Ukrainian soldiers KIA, compared to 18 thousand of the fallen Russian heroes?
It's 1 to 14 ratio in favor of Russians.

Keep eating your Western sh!t, dumb head!!!

But the fact is that Russians in 2022 have been outnumbered 1 to 4, but still managed to launch sucessful ofensives, which has leaded to 20% of Ukranian territory (a historical Russian lands, populated by Russians) to become the subjects of Russian Federation!
And it is written in our Constitution now (after a referendum in these lands).
Period!

The rest is your propaganda bullsh!t!
You can fap and wet dream about any sh!t you like and for how longer you like, but the sad truth is that WE WILL WIN THIS WAR!

And when we will win it - Vae victis!
(Including your pathetic country, which already sks balls a lot, wthout us making a single shot).

Imagine what would have happen with you, had we actually wanted to destroy you?

So, please, become sane for your own good.

[Berzerker]

I'm seeing all sorts of claims about fatalities, one said 44k Russian and 23k Ukrainian dead but the leak shows 17k Russian and 71k Ukrainian. I keep hearing it's worse with a 1:7 Russian-Ukrainian ratio. I thought the numbers were much higher for both, over 100k at least. I have no reason to trust either side's claims but apparently the guy from the Wagner army said it's time to end the war. That sounds like Putin is looking for an off ramp too, but the documents also say we expect to keep the war going into 2024.

[BlackCat]

Interesting video, though, I think some russian made a brainfart when placing the main fuel tank on the BMP-1

[Dinner]

A 21 year old air natl guardsman? How did he get CIA documents camping out on a military base? Anyway, aside from the big story about the WH lying to us about their disastrous war and even under oath to Congress... The other big story is the NYT & Wapo might have hunted the leaker down and helped the FBI arrest him.

Probably doing an active duty stint.

[Berzerker]

A 21 year old air natl guardsman? How did he get CIA documents camping out on a military base? Anyway, aside from the big story about the WH lying to us about their disastrous war and even under oath to Congress... The other big story is the NYT & Wapo might have hunted the leaker down and helped the FBI arrest him.

[Dinner]

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2023/04/13/politics/us-government-intel-leak/index.html

Yep, the leaked was a 21 year old air national guard member out of Massachusetts. Apparently, he will now have less time to play Minecraft.

[JohnT]

"Our words are backed by nuclear weapons!"

"Yeah, but do they work?"

"..."

[Uncle Sparky]

Putin keep losing playing Stalin on Prince level.

[BeBMan]

Meh, as far as I have figured out, then all the leaked material is a bit old and obsolete, so considering the war, it has no influence. The real headache is that someone in the US system apparently have had access to something and sent it out on some minecraft site - maybe US should strengthen their security a bit

I think that's just a sophisticated CIA coverup story for the fact that they retrieved Putin's Laptop, and now know all his Steam achievements

[Thoth]

One has to wonder what understanding Putin had of the real state of his military before he invaded. Hopefully the "no limits" partnership with China will include sharing Russian corruption techniques.

Perun has a couple of excellent videos on corruption and the culture of lying in the Russian military. Well wroth the listen IMO.

https://youtu.be/i9i47sgi-V4

https://youtu.be/Fz59GWeTIik

TLDW: In between a culture of corruption, vranyo, and the inherent tendency of authoritarian power structures to become disinformation networks as superiors get told what the subordinate thinks they want to hear, I think it is safe to say that Putin had no clue just how bad things were with the Russian military or how strong an opposition they were likely to face in Ukraine.

[BlackCat]

Meh, as far as I have figured out, then all the leaked material is a bit old and obsolete, so considering the war, it has no influence. The real headache is that someone in the US system apparently have had access to something and sent it out on some minecraft site - maybe US should strengthen their security a bit

[PLATO]

Maybe the janitor from Mar-a-lago gave them to him????

[Dauphin]

My defense would be Trump (or sitting President) told me (s)he'd think about declassifying the records, hence I thought that meant they were declassified.

[PLATO]

So who is responsible to watch the people who have access to secrets like this?

[ZEE]

And here I thought I used to be an arrogant person...

But posting government secrets on Discord and not expecting them to get out? Wow!