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Who do you tip to win the US presidential election

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  • Originally posted by Jon Miller View Post
    So far there seems to be a lot of liars on Trump's side, liars in such a way that they are trying to subvert the election. It might be reasonable to do audits of every county in NC/Texas/etc that had significant shifts towards Trump which were not seen in the polls. After all, while it might be that the pandemic caused Democrats to reply to polls more often then Republicans or for the Democratic turnout operation to lose to the Republican one, or what have you... maybe it is just that there were liars trying to subvert the election in favor of Trump?

    Seems more plausible (evidence being the poll/vote mismatch, which isn't explained by a single simple explanation like in 2016 and is significantly larger than 2016) then what proven liar after liar claims (and it seems that more liars are easy? to find).

    JM
    No one is lying except the media, saying there is no evidence.
    I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
    - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

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    • Benford's law is used to look for fraud in election data.

      Elections and fraud in this nation cannot stand a close observation. Zero Trump votes are added but Joe Biden’s are padded an act of the left’s desperation This is a map of the extent t…
      I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
      - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

      Comment


      • We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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        • Originally posted by Kidicious View Post
          Benford's law is used to look for fraud in election data.

          https://lenbilen.com/2020/11/07/benf...rick-on-fraud/
          Instead of using charts and graphs, why don't do you try to find actual proof... because so far, Trump and his minions haven't done a very good job of that yet.
          Keep on Civin'
          RIP rah, Tony Bogey & Baron O

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          • Ted Striker
            Ted Striker commented
            Editing a comment
            Not a single verified claim. NOT ONE. Most cases have been thrown out the same day.

        • Originally posted by Kidicious View Post
          Benford's law is used to look for fraud in election data.

          https://lenbilen.com/2020/11/07/benf...rick-on-fraud/
          Benford’s law has serious limitations (It has nearly no predictive power) when applied to electoral data. This has been known for a very long time.
          One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Ming View Post

            Instead of using charts and graphs, why don't do you try to find actual proof... because so far, Trump and his minions haven't done a very good job of that yet.
            Again with this logical fallacy (unless you have proof you don't have evidence).
            I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
            - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

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            • Originally posted by Dauphin View Post

              Benford’s law has serious limitations (It has nearly no predictive power) when applied to electoral data. This has been known for a very long time.
              Well I'd like to see some evidence to show that it's not predictive, like daya from other elections that also don't follow Bedford's law.
              I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
              - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

              Comment


              • Ted Striker
                Ted Striker commented
                Editing a comment
                Hi guys, I have a pile of ****. I ran a rich set of algorithms and determined...it's still ****

            • We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

              Comment


              • Imagine if Trump declared the Earth is flat... how much "evidence" would start circulating on the internet proving that there is a globalist conspiracy to make people think the Earth is round

                Comment


                • Ted Striker
                  Ted Striker commented
                  Editing a comment
                  Exactly. And there's a whole group out there in 2020 that literally does this. Using all these complex theories to prove flat earth.

              • Benford's law is used by election commissions to determine fraud.

                In this article, we will talk about a Do-It-Yourself approach towards election analysis and coming to a conclusion whether the elections were conducted fairly or not.
                I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
                - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

                Comment


                • Originally posted by giblets View Post
                  Imagine if Trump declared the Earth is flat... how much "evidence" would start circulating on the internet proving that there is a globalist conspiracy to make people think the Earth is round
                  whistleblowers aren't conspiracy theories.
                  I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
                  - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

                  Comment


                  • Ted Striker
                    Ted Striker commented
                    Editing a comment
                    Patsy's are though

                • The mathematics of Benford’s law do not apply in scenarios where numbers are constrained by limits (E.g a minimum or aximum value) and do not extend over orders of magnitude. Voting wards have a fixed upper and potentially lower limit (wards are limited by the population) and votes for a party generally don’t stretch across more than one order of magnitude for any given ward size.
                  One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.

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                  • Ladies and gentlemen, we have our first documented case of election fraud.

                    COMMITTED BY A TRUMP VOTER



                    Throw out the results for Trump, all electoral votes to Biden (based on the logic being thrown around by Trump apologists).

                    https://fox8.com/news/luzerne-county...ceased-mother/

                    Actually it appears this happened all the way back in October during early voting ! lol
                    Last edited by Ted Striker; November 11, 2020, 18:27.
                    We the people are the rightful masters of both Congress and the courts, not to overthrow the Constitution but to overthrow the men who pervert the Constitution. - Abraham Lincoln

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                    • Naturally we should estimate how many Trump voters have a dead mother and throw out all of their votes

                      Comment


                      • Ted Striker
                        Ted Striker commented
                        Editing a comment
                        Now I've consulted Moore's Law and the vote ratio should be exponential based on how many mothers and in-laws he has. The coefficient rule means an inverse setting of 10/1 in favor of Trump. I know because Alex Jones told me and I didn't bother to check his work, I just ran with it and shared it on Facebook.

                    • Originally posted by Dauphin View Post
                      The mathematics of Benford’s law do not apply in scenarios where numbers are constrained by limits (E.g a minimum or aximum value) and do not extend over orders of magnitude. Voting wards have a fixed upper and potentially lower limit (wards are limited by the population) and votes for a party generally don’t stretch across more than one order of magnitude for any given ward size.
                      It's still a tool that is used, although it's problematic when used to determining election fraud.

                      " It is not simply that the Law occasionally judges
                      a fraudulent election fair or a fair election fraudulent. Its ‘‘success rate’’ either way is essentially equivalent to
                      a toss of a coin, thereby rendering it problematical at best as a forensic tool and wholly misleading at worst."

                      - Benford’s Law and the Detection of Election Fraud
                      Joseph Deckert, Mikhail Myagkov, and Peter C. Ordeshook
                      University of Oregon 97403 and California Institute of Technology 91124
                      e-mail: ordeshook@hss.caltech.edu (corresponding author
                      I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
                      - Justice Brett Kavanaugh

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                      • Dauphin
                        Dauphin commented
                        Editing a comment
                        Think it through carefully Kid. If 1 in 100 cases is actually a fraud, the coin flip is telling you that half of the cases are fraud... it's pretty ****ing useless. If 50 of 100 cases are actually a fraud and the coin flip is misdiagnosing half of the frauduent ones as genuine and misdiagnosing half the genuine ones as fraud.....it's still pretty ****ing useless.

                      • Kidlicious
                        Kidlicious commented
                        Editing a comment
                        It's not useless because it justifies an audit.

                      • Dauphin
                        Dauphin commented
                        Editing a comment
                        No, it doesn't. It doesn't justify anything. IF you apply the law to elections with no allegations of fraud you get a **** tonne of false positives.
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