Unofficial Apolyton Predicts

[Ming]

there are other relevant facts, too, ming, such the fact the suit had already been dismissed twice and the reports in the media that explained why the case was withdrawn, but OK. yes, there are several possible reasons that i have discussed and concluded to be unlikely. others may have a different opinion.

Yes, YOU have concluded them to be unlikely and others disagree. That's not FACTS. Trying to provide proof that will stand up in court on a rape that happened years ago is difficult, but doesn't mean it didn't happen. At this point in time, only two people know what actually happened, so your conclusion is simply an opinion.

and i'm sorry, but you're just being silly with this 50:50 thing. i can claim that, for example, 'ming peed on my cat!'. i can't prove it, of course, but just because i can't prove it, doesn't mean it didn't happen, 50:50, right? how would anyone else who wasn't involved or hadn't seen the alleged incident judge my claim? by looking at the circumstances and concluding that the story wasn't credible.

It depends on what facts you can present to support your case. ;
But yeah... 50:50 to anybody that doesn't have the facts in the case. While your example is funny, this is the problem with all he/she said cases.
Without facts, and not being there, we don't really know what happened. You can come up with all the silly examples you want, but unfortunately, rape isn't silly.
Again, please state any actual facts that show she is making this up or being truthful. The problem is, you can't. All you can offer up is opinions. And while you are welcome to your opinion, that doesn't make it reality.
50:50 in my book.

[BeBMan]

At least we'll finally pay down the debt then.

I'm also wondering if anyone elected pres is technically "Captain America" while in office

[Elok]

I can pester Kuci on FB if you like, but it seems this would be an exceptional case. Ordinarily, a woman has little incentive to falsely allege rape; there's nothing to gain and a great deal of humiliation to deal with. In the case of Trump, the stakes could hardly be higher, and a sufficiently consistent story could net a very nice book deal. But there's statistical noise in that Trump is a fairly rapey character, and due to the aforementioned high stakes genuine rape victims could easily be intimidated into silence. Even without all these complications, how would one accurately judge the likelihood of any one allegation being true? With them, you can say 50:50 in the sense that, as the exact middle value, it's got a fair chance of being not too far from whatever the (unknowable) true figure is. But that's not saying much.

In conclusion, we should probably just go back to quibbling over terms from linguistics.

[giblets]

Orthography is a part of grammar you ridiculous ****-womble.

[rah]

If I was guessing percentages I'd probably go 25:75. Looking at the string of events, I'm more likely to lean towards dropped because of lack of merit. But since there is still the potential of intimidation, I wouldn't totally discard it. But just my opinion.

[Elok]

I googled, and here are the opinions of some people on a totally different internet forum:

http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=679463

My favorite parts:

im sorry i didnt men to be stupid illl levae the boasrd forever im so sorry please dont be mad im so sorry

Jesus, jragon, is your self-esteem made out of tissue paper?

i dont deserve self esteem im not good enough to have it

[giblets]

I hope jragon didn't kill himself that day

[Bereta_Eder]

He should come here.

We'll train the lad

[The Mad Monk]

what is it with these people and grabbing groins

It's the Department of Homeland Security.

It's what they do.

[Bereta_Eder]

[Bereta_Eder]

[giblets]

Tomorrow we won't have to think about Trump ever again... hopefully

[Ben Kenobi]

Seeing early exits with Hillary+5. This is over.

[rah]

Captain Obvious.

This was over quite a while ago.

[Bereta_Eder]

Well here goes a major setback fo the common european army
oh well