Yeah, I think we had a window of opportunity and we wasted it. The real question is whether more troops at this point could reopen it or if it's too late for that.
As I see it you have to have security and reconstruction. You can't have them separately, they're co-requisites. The problem is if security isn't there, reconstruction is very hard. If you wait for security is there you will wait forever. You have a window of opportunity after winning a crushing victory in the invasion when security is there just because the enemy is disorganized. If you get some reconstruction going and prepare to maintain security proactively, you win. If you miss that, you get into the current mess.
Also, forget erradicating the poppies. It's not going to work and it just pisses off farmers and drives them to the Taliban's side for economic reasons. Last thing you want to do is piss people off while fighting an insurgency. You want to make the insurgents piss people off (see progress in Anbar province in Iraq).
As I see it you have to have security and reconstruction. You can't have them separately, they're co-requisites. The problem is if security isn't there, reconstruction is very hard. If you wait for security is there you will wait forever. You have a window of opportunity after winning a crushing victory in the invasion when security is there just because the enemy is disorganized. If you get some reconstruction going and prepare to maintain security proactively, you win. If you miss that, you get into the current mess.
Also, forget erradicating the poppies. It's not going to work and it just pisses off farmers and drives them to the Taliban's side for economic reasons. Last thing you want to do is piss people off while fighting an insurgency. You want to make the insurgents piss people off (see progress in Anbar province in Iraq).
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