Is probability so hard to understand?

[Urban Ranger]

Originally posted by Nacht
When you roll three dice, what's the chance of having at least one six?

Getting one 6: 3/6
Getting two 6s: 3/36
Getting three 6s: 1/216

But I wasn't talking about the calculations, I was talking about the basic concepts!

[MrFun]

oh yeah -- thrilling

[Nubclear]

Originally posted by MrFun
What is the probability of this thread becoming way boring??

0%, for it has already achieved such status.

[Urban Ranger]

Stop spamming my thread MrFun

[Ben Kenobi]

When you roll three dice, what's the chance of having at least one six?

91 / 216 42%

[MrFun]

Originally posted by Urban Ranger
Stop spamming my thread MrFun

fine

[Ben Kenobi]

216 = 6^3

91 = (6)! +1
----
6

so we have ( ( (n)! / n ) +1 ) / n ^ d


where d = number of dice

n = number of faces.

[Asher]

What is the probability of God existing?

[Ramo]

Probability isn't intuitive. At least, not for me. And the same is probably true for most people. That's just how our brains work. If I didn't have the proper mathematical training (as is the case with most people), I'd be scrwed.

[PLATO]

Originally posted by Asher
What is the probability of God existing?

100%

[Bosh]

no wait, 3 dice is
38.8888888888888888% of getting at least 1 six
6 dice is, or is it? aaaargh I used to know how to calculate this nine years ago

[Asher]

Originally posted by PLATO
100%

When I try to parse it I get divide by zero errors.

[Ben Kenobi]

I used to know how to calculate this nine years ago

I think my formula's right. That's probably the quickest way to calculate the probabilities.

[Ramo]

On a related note, why are groups supposedly so hard to understand? I mean, it's so simple - for instance, fibres of an automorphism between normal subgroups formed by taking the left coset of an abelian group that happens to be a ring under another commutative operation, anyone who doesn't understand every last theorem about these concepts should be shot. Shot I tell ya! Why can't people grasp such simple concepts?

[MrFun]

Originally posted by Ramo
On a related note, why are groups supposedly so hard to understand? I mean, it's so simple - for instance, fibres of an automorphism between normal subgroups formed by taking the left coset of an abelian group that happens to be a field under another commutative operation, anyone who doesn't understand every last theorem about these concepts should be shot. Shot I tell ya! Why can't people grasp such simple concepts?

Please don't shoot me . . .