Prediction Thread: When Will Ukraine Conquer Russia

[Geronimo]

So reports everywhere of intense fighting but the front is fairly stagnant. It is all coming down to the irresistible force versus the immovable object. Limited aircraft from both sides(aside from drones of course). This is truly a 1918 fight with 2023 weapons. This is beginning to resemble the Battle of The Somme....

All of that favors Russia to win

[PLATO]

So reports everywhere of intense fighting but the front is fairly stagnant. It is all coming down to the irresistible force versus the immovable object. Limited aircraft from both sides(aside from drones of course). This is truly a 1918 fight with 2023 weapons. This is beginning to resemble the Battle of The Somme....

[Berzerker]

ask any Crimeans if they want to be ruled by Azov

[The Mad Monk]

Do you mean the original Crimeans, or do you mean the Crimeans the Russians replaced them with?

[Bereta_Eder]

ukrainian drones attacked moscow

and there is no global themonuclear war


strange

[Uncle Sparky]

I have won land wars in Asia.

[Berzerker]

ya'll think Crimeans want to live under Azov's rule?

[Dauphin]

I think '95% failure still means 1/20 explode, and there are millions'

[pchang]

5% failure still means 19/20 explode.

[Geronimo]

I guess it will depend on how effective Ukraine has been at destroying Russian artillery (they've been blowing up a huge amount for the past three months or so, mostly in the south and east), how depleted Russian reserves are (reportedly, they've been reinforcing the front line and trying to yield as little as possible, have very few reserves left in many areas, and have a lot of troops sent to try and advance in northern Lugansk), and if the Ukrainians have found a way to effectively deal with minefields (this is the one I doubt the most).

I guess we'll see in the coming weeks.

Perhaps if the failure rate of Russia's mines is anywhere near as high as their other munitions Ukraine's sappers will have a bit more room for error

[N35t0r]

I guess it will depend on how effective Ukraine has been at destroying Russian artillery (they've been blowing up a huge amount for the past three months or so, mostly in the south and east), how depleted Russian reserves are (reportedly, they've been reinforcing the front line and trying to yield as little as possible, have very few reserves left in many areas, and have a lot of troops sent to try and advance in northern Lugansk), and if the Ukrainians have found a way to effectively deal with minefields (this is the one I doubt the most).

I guess we'll see in the coming weeks.

[BeBMan]

Maybe this is the push south mentioned above

Or it is the Ukrainian counteroffensive which already failed, according to Putin yesterday (? or so)

[PLATO]

Looks like something big is starting on the southern front. Some reports I am seeing say that Ukraine is close to a breakthrough and is rotating 5 brigades for a big push. Staromlynivka may be the weakest point in Russian defensive lines and Ukrainian armor is said the be about 5 miles from the defensive line there. There is no second layer of defense on that part of the front. A breakthrough there would open up 50-60 miles of maneuver space and open the way to Melitopol or Mariupol.

Things may be getting interesting for the next 2-3 weeks.

[N35t0r]

Wagner should have sent his soldiers to poll the citizens, I'm sure Putin would have recognized it just like the Crimea poll.

[BeBMan]

I'm still wondering why the good people of Rostov were not given a chance to vote if they wanted to stay with Wagner or Putin