Prediction Thread: When Will Russia Conquer Ukraine

[Gertrude]

I am at the point where I wonder how many weeks, or perhaps even days, is the remaining life expectancy of Vladimir Putin.

One bullet and one man to pull a trigger on one gun is all that is needed.

Am I alone in wondering if Putin is finished?

[Geronimo]

I am at the point where I wonder how many weeks, or perhaps even days, is the remaining life expectancy of Vladimir Putin.

One bullet and one man to pull a trigger on one gun is all that is needed.

Am I alone in wondering if Putin is finished?

The level of security this paranoid president has is certainly going to be absurdly enormous and thorough. Also things look a lot less desperate in Russia than in Ukraine and despite huge bounties and people hoping it might end the war, there doesn't seem to be many domestic attempts by Ukrainians to assassinate Zelensky so I would think Putin's odds of being assassinated by a Russian are likely much lower than Zelensky's of being assassinated by a Ukrainian.

OTOH, speculation about a serious health condition is stoked not only by his puffy fragile appearance lately but also by his actions. One justification he gave for his special military operations was that he didn't want to leave it for future rulers of Russia.

[N35t0r]

Yeah, the Russian economy is still not feeling the full effects of the sanctions. When many modern luxuries start becoming unavailable is when we'll see increasing unrest in Russia, but what the outcome is is up for grabs. It might turn into the next North Korea or Cuba.

[Wezil]

I'm in favour of lifting the sanctions when Russia leaves all of Ukraine, including Crimea. If that is "never" then I'm okay with that too. They can be a frozen North Korea.

[N35t0r]

I'm in favour of lifting the sanctions when Russia leaves all of Ukraine, including Crimea. If that is "never" then I'm okay with that too. They can be a frozen North Korea.

I would love them to keep it up until Putin is ousted and some deep cleaning of the political landscape is done, but I don't think it's realistically doable. Otherwise I agree with you.

[PLATO]

Now that the U.S. has declared Putin a War Criminal, it will be very hard to lift sanctions until he is gone. Looks like the Iron Curtain has once again fallen. What surprises me is the momentum that support for sanctions on China is gaining should they decide to militarily supply Russia. History seems to be repeating itself with the East/west divide.

[Uncle Sparky]

This would be good news for 'Formosan' friends of mine.

[Proteus_MST]

Perhaps this time the Iron Curtain might even become thicker than during soviet times

[pchang]

This report is extraordinary https://www.nytimes.com/video/world/...o-makariv.html

[Dinner]

I am at the point where I wonder how many weeks, or perhaps even days, is the remaining life expectancy of Vladimir Putin.

One bullet and one man to pull a trigger on one gun is all that is needed.

Am I alone in wondering if Putin is finished?

I don't see it happening. Putin has had 23 years to dig himself in and make sure no one can challenge him. Also he knows he can't retire as who ever follows will want him dead and try to recover as much of the money he stole as possible. Plus he can't leave Russia due to war crimes charges so Putin is there until he dies.

That said, I suspect sometime after Mariupol falls Putin offers a compromise where he takes eastern Ukraine and a land bridge to Crimea while Ukraine is forced to be Finlandized. Biden has already signaled he is happy to sell Ukraine down river.

[dannubis]

I was cold this morning. Should I blame Biden or some brown people?

[dannubis]

That would be one option. Or I could blame myself for not putting on my coat. I however did ask Dinner opinion, not yours.

[Dinner]

You sure do love to troll and lie about other people. The weather is the weather, dude, deal with it. While you're at it how about you stop making up lies?

[dannubis]

Sorry not lying about you. But your crocodile tears are salty as hell.

[N35t0r]

This whole week has been sunny with 1 - 20° temperature ranges daily. Beautiful weather.

[Bereta_Eder]

The gas prices are 2.10 euros a littre. That's the highest in the EU after holland
heating petrol, natural gas everything has at least doubled and it's heavily subsidez now

Then again Greece is not particularly knwon for its harse winters

[Bereta_Eder]

Having said that it was uncharacteristically cold this march, living up to the months name martis gdartis. (march skin scrapper)

[pchang]

It appears that never wins. Russia states their intent was never to take over Ukraine. They just wanted to degrade Ukraine’s military and consolidate their hold on the Eastern part of Ukraine.

[giblets]

Are they unfurling a "Mission Accomplished" banner?