Who do you tip to win the US presidential election

[Sugarrynad]

And in the latest crazy conspiracy theories brought to you by our one and only mentally challenged president...
Trump is totally losing it.
It's no wonder his many many lawsuits keep getting throw out of court...
He's kind of like Kid, he reads some headline from some crazy alt right site, or watches something on youtube and then starts tweeting about it.
I guess actual facts simply no longer matter to this crazed lunatic who still can't admit he is a loser.

I want to see the new meme on his face when the election is totally over!

[Kidlicious]

"A Simple Test for the Extent of Vote Fraud with Absentee Ballots in the 2020 Presidential Election: Georgia and Pennsylvania Data


25 PagesPosted: 29 Dec 2020
John R. Lott


US Department of Justice

Date Written: December 21, 2020
Abstract


This study provides measures of vote fraud in the 2020 presidential election. It first compares Fulton county’s precincts that are adjacent to similar precincts in neighboring counties that had no allegations of fraud to isolate the impact of Fulton county’s vote-counting process (including potential fraud). In measuring the difference in President Trump’s vote share of the absentee ballots for these adjacent precincts, we account for the difference in his vote share of the in-person voting and the difference in registered voters’ demographics. The best estimate shows an unusual 7.81% drop in Trump’s percentage of the absentee ballots for Fulton County alone of 11,350 votes, or over 80% of Biden’s vote lead in Georgia. The same approach is applied to Allegheny County in Pennsylvania for both absentee and provisional ballots. The estimated number of fraudulent votes from those two sources is about 55,270 votes.

Second, vote fraud can increase voter turnout rate. Increased fraud can take many forms: higher rates of filling out absentee ballots for people who hadn’t voted, dead people voting, ineligible people voting, or even payments to legally registered people for their votes. However, the increase might not be as large as the fraud if votes for opposing candidates are either lost, destroyed, or replaced with ballots filled out for the other candidate. The estimates here indicate that there were 70,000 to 79,000 “excess” votes in Georgia and Pennsylvania. Adding Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, the total increases to up to 289,000 excess votes."

[-Jrabbit]

Once again, inventing scenarios, calling it "math" and claiming election fraud with no evidence of actual people committing actual fraud.

Total waste of time.

[Kidlicious]

They are doing the duty they are sworn to uphold, protect the Constitution.
They are refusing to hear the lame brain cases that are attempting to circumvent our Constitution
But you could be right about possible martial law. Because that's really the last chance Trump has since his lame super lawyer team can't come up with any legitimate suits that will stand up in court.

You pretend to believe in courts until white cops are on trial.

[-Jrabbit]

Changing the subject

[Ming]

You pretend to believe in courts until white cops are on trial.

Kid the mind reader again... just making crap up


And your story about fraud sounds like a fraud by the people that did the study
It's full of "estimates" and a ton of "ifs"
It doesn't prove anything

But whatever you do don't fall for the Brad Raffensperger brother's story like Trump did.

[Kidlicious]

You think that's a story?

[Kidlicious]

Kid the mind reader again... just making crap up


And your story about fraud sounds like a fraud by the people that did the study
It's full of "estimates" and a ton of "ifs"
It doesn't prove anything

But whatever you do don't fall for the Brad Raffensperger brother's story like Trump did.

"John R. Lott

US Department of Justice

Senior Advisor for Research and Statistics, OLP






Washington, DC 20531

United States"

[Ming]

Your point... where it comes from doesn't change what the "research" doesn't actually prove.
And I love how when they said they did an investigation and found NO MASSIVE FRAUD, you didn't believe that, but now that some research makes the claim that there was, it PROVES EVERYTHING.

Very selective of you...

[Kidlicious]

I'm sorry that you hate research and statistics just because they discredit your opinions.

[Ming]

I'm sorry that you hate research and statistics just because they discredit your opinions.

Coming for a guy who always won't believe research that discredits his opinions... but will believe anything he sees on youtube


I love research that is done properly and actually proves something.
And I'm also aware of the reality that research can prove anything you want it to if that is your goal going in.
I love to take a look at the methodology, the sample, the questions, the statistics and EVERYTHING that goes into research, and then form my own opinion on how valid it is. I did that for a living for 25 years.
And yet again, this study has way too many IF, and estimates. It doesn't pass muster.

But can you tell us why that their earlier investigation that showed no massive fraud was not right?
You didn't believe that investigation...

[Kidlicious]

Bull. Research and statistics doesn't usually prove things beyond a reasonable doubt as is the standard in criminal court. It still has great value for decision making. Denying that is equivalent to being QAnon.

[Ming]

QAnon has been called again
Nice try.
Yes, good and properly done research can be an excellent decision making tool
But from the stuff that was posted, this research doesn't.

And I see you are still not going to answer the question on why you don't support their investigation that found no fraud?

[Kidlicious]

You're a research denier. Your opinion is based on nothing.

[Ming]

You're a research denier. Your opinion is based on nothing.

Gee... if being against bad research is being a denier, that's just your opinion. Based on nothing...
But feel free to continue believing everything you see on youtube...

And you still haven't answered the question, but I can understand why... because you have nothing.

[Kidlicious]

I'm going to go with the research. You do you.

[Ming]

I'm going to go with the research. You do you.

You are welcome to your opinion...
All of the previous "research" that you and Trump's minions have been pushing about voter fraud has gone nowhere and hasn't proven anything. So I expect this "research" will end up the same way...

Please let us know when somebody actually proves massive voter fraud... because so far, Trump and his minions have proven nothings.