Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

2012 Election Map Prediction Thread

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • #16
    Originally posted by The Mad Monk View Post
    444 electron volts isn't near enough.
    With Tevatron shut down, the US doesn't produce many electron volts anymore.
    Click here if you're having trouble sleeping.
    "We confess our little faults to persuade people that we have no large ones." - François de La Rochefoucauld

    Comment


    • #17
      I strongly doubt Virginia is going to go for Obama again, considering Bob McDonnell.

      edit: here's my map

      Click image for larger version

Name:	romney-obama-map.png
Views:	1
Size:	66.1 KB
ID:	9093275
      Last edited by regexcellent; May 8, 2012, 20:54. Reason: typo

      Comment


      • #18
        Originally posted by Hauldren Collider View Post
        I think the case for a blue Virginia is vastly overstated. It relies on a lot of coal-miner democrats (IE de fact West Virginians) voting for him and good minority turnout.
        No, it relies on good turnout among younger voters.

        Comment


        • #19


          493-43
          Last edited by Ben Kenobi; May 8, 2012, 22:13.
          Scouse Git (2) La Fayette Adam Smith Solomwi and Loinburger will not be forgotten.
          "Remember the night we broke the windows in this old house? This is what I wished for..."
          2015 APOLYTON FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPION!

          Comment


          • #20
            OK guys, predictions for how many EVs Ben will predict for Romney? I say 400.
            And Kuci is the winner, as he was the closest.
            Scouse Git (2) La Fayette Adam Smith Solomwi and Loinburger will not be forgotten.
            "Remember the night we broke the windows in this old house? This is what I wished for..."
            2015 APOLYTON FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPION!

            Comment


            • #21
              Please explain to me your logic in deciding that Obama can win Mississippi Alabama, and South Carolina.

              Unless you colored Romney blue and Obama red, in which case, how does Obama get Utah, and how does Romney get Hawaii?

              Comment


              • #22
                Originally posted by gribbler View Post
                No, it relies on good turnout among younger voters.
                It would also depend on very good turnout among blacks in the corridor between Richmond and Hampton Roads, which is unlikely to meet the 2008 levels. Minority voter registration has declined from 2008 and Virginia and North Carolina are states where this is going to be very significant.

                Comment


                • #23
                  Originally posted by gribbler View Post
                  No, it relies on good turnout among younger voters.
                  What, you think Virginia has enough college students to elect Obama? That wasn't what won him Virginia last time, gribbler.
                  If there is no sound in space, how come you can hear the lasers?
                  ){ :|:& };:

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Please explain to me your logic in deciding that Obama can win Mississippi Alabama, and South Carolina.
                    Mitt 'Cheezy grits' Romney is really weak in the south.
                    Scouse Git (2) La Fayette Adam Smith Solomwi and Loinburger will not be forgotten.
                    "Remember the night we broke the windows in this old house? This is what I wished for..."
                    2015 APOLYTON FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPION!

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Originally posted by regexcellent View Post
                      Please explain to me your logic in deciding that Obama can win Mississippi Alabama, and South Carolina.

                      Unless you colored Romney blue and Obama red, in which case, how does Obama get Utah, and how does Romney get Hawaii?
                      More importantly, how does Obama win Texas?
                      If there is no sound in space, how come you can hear the lasers?
                      ){ :|:& };:

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Originally posted by Ben Kenobi View Post
                        Mitt 'Cheezy grits' Romney is really weak in the south.
                        LOL
                        If there is no sound in space, how come you can hear the lasers?
                        ){ :|:& };:

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          God I ****in hate Romney.

                          More importantly, how does Obama win Texas?
                          Virgil Goode polls > 5 percent. They did a poll with Goode in VA and it showed Romney down 12 in Virginia. My map assumes that Goode runs and does well, splitting the vote.
                          Scouse Git (2) La Fayette Adam Smith Solomwi and Loinburger will not be forgotten.
                          "Remember the night we broke the windows in this old house? This is what I wished for..."
                          2015 APOLYTON FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPION!

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            Originally posted by Hauldren Collider View Post
                            What, you think Virginia has enough college students to elect Obama? That wasn't what won him Virginia last time, gribbler.
                            By "younger voters" I don't specifically mean people aged 18-22. His support was far stronger among voters under 30. If you think stupid rednecks (you call them West Virginians) are what won him Virginia I don't believe you. His performance was lousy among whites with no college.

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              Good Christians will never tolerate a Mormon in the White House.
                              “As a lifelong member of the Columbia Business School community, I adhere to the principles of truth, integrity, and respect. I will not lie, cheat, steal, or tolerate those who do.”
                              "Capitalism ho!"

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                Originally posted by gribbler View Post
                                By "younger voters" I don't specifically mean people aged 18-22. His support was far stronger among voters under 30. If you think stupid rednecks (you call them West Virginians) are what won him Virginia I don't believe you. His performance was lousy among whites with no college.
                                I think it was mainly high turnout among blacks in the southeastern area of Virginia and the growing population of the Northern Virginia region. But the main regions, iirc, of democratic support in VA are the coal mining rednecks in the southwest, blacks and other minorities in the southeast, and Northern Virginia.
                                If there is no sound in space, how come you can hear the lasers?
                                ){ :|:& };:

                                Comment

                                Working...