The Official 2008 Electoral College Prediction Thread

[Boris Godunov]

No, by all accounts IN is closer than GA, and therefore your vote there is much more likely to help Obama. I think Obama winning GA is a stretch.

[Ramo]

Of course, there isn't a potential Senate pickup in IN (though in the unlikely situation Thompson wins Gov, and Lugar accepts a cabinet post, that could conceivably be a pickup), while Chambliss vs. Martin looks like a tossup at this point. Obama winning IN or GA means a landslide victory anyways.

[Boris Godunov]

In other news, McCain pulled out of Wisconsin and Maine today. And the NRSC pulled out of Louisiana's Senate race, which was the lone opportunity the GOP had for picking up any seats in the Senate this year.

[Guynemer]

It begs the question what the hell were they doing in Wisconsin and Maine anyway. As I said when they pulled out of Michigan to put resources into those two states (and Minnesota and Pennsylvania)... WTF? The only Blue state they had a chance in was Michigan, but they don't need it to win. They just have to play defense. McCain's campaign has been an absolute horrorshow from the get-go.

[Boris Godunov]

He's still wasting money--lots of it--in Pennsylvania. He spent over $1 million there last week alone, and Obama has double-digit leads. And McCain does not need it to win.

He could be using those resources in FL, OH, VA, all of which he needs to win. Instead he's dicking around in PA, IA and MN, making no headway whatsoever. It's baffling.

[The Emperor Fabulous]

Obama has pulled out of Michigan to focus on redder states.

[Boris Godunov]

Originally posted by The Emperor Fabulous
Obama has pulled out of Michigan to focus on redder states.

He pulled his campaign staff out and sent them to IN and NC. He's still spending a lot on advertising there to help the downticket races.

[Victor Galis]

Originally posted by Boris Godunov
He could be using those resources in FL, OH, VA, all of which he needs to win. Instead he's dicking around in PA, IA and MN, making no headway whatsoever. It's baffling.

Maybe he's decided to put the country first and let Obama win .

[Boris Godunov]

You're not the first to voice that thought, actually.

[Ben Kenobi]

However, if you meant what you said, you should check yourself into the nearest mental institution for psychological evaluation.

I have a reputation to protect, and I can't let Winston take that away from me.

That being said, I most certainly do believe McCain will win, and I don't see why that would be considered delusional.

[Boris Godunov]

Originally posted by Ben Kenobi
That being said, I most certainly do believe McCain will win, and I don't see why that would be considered delusional.

It's not your belief that he will win that's delusional, it's the ridiculous landslide you gave to him, which runs contrary to all the evidence and simple common sense. McCain is fighting for his political life in Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana. Any Republican who has to campaign in those states this late in the election isn't going to win by a landslide. He isn't likely to win at all, of course. It just further shows you are totally clueless when it comes to understanding the American electorate.

I give McCain a small chance to win... maybe 5%. But if he does, it will be the squeakiest of squeakers.

[Victor Galis]

538 is giving Obama a 34% chance in Arkansas now.

[Vesayen]

What is the highest bid? I'll add one dollar.

*looks to everyone else on the contestants row and flips them off*

[Boris Godunov]

A second state poll from North Dakota just came out showing Obama with a small lead:

DFM Research (Likely voters):

McCain (R) 40
Obama (D) 43

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/09/04/dfm_research_obama_holds_slight_lead_in_north_dakota.html

Holy crap!

[Arrian]

Originally posted by Ramo
The guy who is culturally conservative and voted for both Bush and Dole, and has no confidence in Obama - admitting that he's probably no better than McCain - said that he won't ever vote for another Republican. The woman was convinced by the ad that Obama was a terrorist, and is voting for him anyways.

Christ, those people are idiots.



-Arrian