CANPOL: Today is election day

[Ben Kenobi]

Here's the official results that the CBC has up so far.

Only missed one, but the Conservatives polled quite well in Newfoundland, and poorly on PEI.

RIDING

NEWFOUNDLAND

AVALON

CON 18996 51.57%
LIB 14193 38.53%

BONAVISTA-GANDER-GRAND FALLS-WINDSOR

LIB 19853 52.02%
CON 15377 40.29% (Predicted CON)

HUMBER-ST. BARBE-BAIE VERTE

LIB 17196 52.88%
CON 10137 31.17%

LABRADOR

LIB 5737 50.25%
CON 4528 39.66%

RANDOM-BURIN-ST GEORGES

LIB 13652 45.50%
CON 12232 40.76%

ST JOHN'S EAST

CON 19010 46.43%
LIB 14345 35.03%

ST JOHN'S SOUTH-MOUNT PEARL

CON 16644 44.69%
LIB 12293 33.01%


PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND

CARDIGAN

LIB 11542 56.21%
CON 6923 33.72%

CHARLOTTETOWN

LIB 9586 50.16%
CON 6524 34.14%

EGMONT

LIB 10287 53.17%
CON 5992 30.87%

MALPEQUE

LIB 9697 50.23%
CON 6708 34.81%

[Richelieu]

Originally posted by Ben Kenobi
What a mess, but there is plenty of election left to go. The liberals can't even make something work with the Bloc.

Only one that works is Bloc and Conservatives.

I can see that one lasting for a while. A federal government that is openly for decentralization might be an ally for the Bloc... unless Duceppe perceives that as a threat to the separatist movement. But it can work as long as the Conservatives don't come close to gay marriage or abortion.

[Jon Miller]

everyone predicted far more conservatives then are actually getting elected...

why?

JM

[joncha]

I didn't.

[joncha]

Originally posted by Richelieu


I can see that one lasting for a while. A federal government that is openly for decentralization might be an ally for the Bloc... unless Duceppe perceives that as a threat to the separatist movement. But it can work as long as the Conservatives don't come close to gay marriage or abortion.

They'd have to deal with the criticism of being "propped up" by the Bloc, though. I doubt that would go over well in the West.

[Ben Kenobi]

A federal government that is openly for decentralization might be an ally for the Bloc... unless Duceppe perceives that as a threat to the separatist movement. But it can work as long as the Conservatives don't come close to gay marriage or abortion.

Yeah, be much easier if they were 20 seats over the Liberals, at 142 like I predicted.

As for being propped up by the Bloc that would also annoy their socon supporters across the country, let alone Federalists in Quebec.

[Richelieu]

Originally posted by joncha


They'd have to deal with the criticism of being "propped up" by the Bloc, though. I doubt that would go over well in the West.

Damned if you do... damned if you don't.

[notyoueither]

Originally posted by Jon Miller
everyone predicted far more conservatives then are actually getting elected...

why?

JM

The appetite for change was not as large as reported, and negative campaigning works to a point.

[Flubber]

Originally posted by Jon Miller
everyone predicted far more conservatives then are actually getting elected...

why?

JM

Polls-- for the second election in a row , the Liberal vote was higher than the polls predicted-- even polls as late as 48 hours before the vote.

In the prediction models we may have to expect a 3-4% bump for the Liberals in the final weekend-- Of course next time the Voters may act some totally and different unpredictable way

[Richelieu]

Yep. And the infamous last week. always works for the Libs.

[notyoueither]

The Tories don't need the Bloc.

They have 18 to 24 months of the RCMP being let loose to go where they may and to recommend charges as they see fit.

They have 18 to 24 months to put the lie to the horns that the Liberals have been hanging on them.

If Harper does well, the next go round will be a Conservative majority. If he screws up, it will be Liberal.

[Seeker]

What was the near-Green riding?

And can I have some of what Goodale is smoking?

[joncha]

It was Prince George-Peace River and it wasn't near at all.

[Richelieu]

Originally posted by notyoueither
The Tories don't need the Bloc.

They have 18 to 24 months of the RCMP being let loose to go where they may and to recommend charges as they see fit.

They have 18 to 24 months to put the lie to the horns that the Liberals have been hanging on them.

If Harper does well, the next go round will be a Conservative majority. If he screws up, it will be Liberal.

You certain that they have 18 to 24 months?

[notyoueither]

If the final seat count is 155 Tory-NDP, yes.