CanPol: Race to the Finish

[Ben Kenobi]

I saw the Liberal campaign ads, and the Liberals are outright lying!

Yes, it is true that the Conservative party held a free vote at their policy convention on abortion in Montreal, but the party voted against submitting a private member's bill on abortion, rather then for, as the ads claimed.

If you are going to tar the conservatives for their 'hidden agenda' make sure you have your facts straight.

[Ben Kenobi]

I'm going to stick to my earlier prediction of 139, until I have had a chance to recheck all the seats.

[Flinx]

Originally posted by notyoueither
BQ 60
Liberal 43
NDP 40
Conservative 165

Baring an intervention by the god of the Christian Coalition candidates running for the Conservatives there is no way for them to get that many seats. Well maybe that is a little extreme, with the NDP numbers rising, the Conservatives could pick up some unexpected seats (like Toronto Centre or Etobicoke Lakeshore). The Liberals would have to loose 92 seats to end up at 43 seats; that just seems unlikely given regional voting patterns and polling results.

The numbers that come out of my mathematical vote swing model can appear unbelievable in some cases, e.g. 50 seats for the NDP, but at least there is some basis for them. What was that about glass houses and throwing stones…?

[Flubber]

Originally posted by Ben Kenobi
I saw the Liberal campaign ads, and the Liberals are outright lying!

Yes, it is true that the Conservative party held a free vote at their policy convention on abortion in Montreal, but the party voted against submitting a private member's bill on abortion, rather then for, as the ads claimed.

If you are going to tar the conservatives for their 'hidden agenda' make sure you have your facts straight.

Ben in fairness, the ad I saw said

1. Harper will not promise to block a free vote on the issue

and
2. 70% of Conservative MPs did not support a woman's right to choose


Just an aside but wouldn't it be odd for a PARTY to vote on whether or not the introduce a PRIVATE member's bill?? I thought any member could do that anytime and things like abortion come up from time to time as a matter of course and promptly die.

[Richelieu]

Re: Why I will vote conservative today

Originally posted by Flubber
...Then we could have another interesting election next time, when it could be the "seen to be not scary" Conservatives against the clean slate Liberals

After Martin has been ousted from the party you will see the Chretien people come back running. Manley and Tobin will be the first. Martin was the leader of a small faction of the Liberal party: now that he's out, we're going back to the bad old times, not to clean slate Liberals.

Not that i'm voting Libaral anyway...

[Ming]

500 posts it is... time to start another one