"BTW, Shi... you don't have to be a "lefty" to realize Bush's tax cuts were wrong... ineffective, and a complete giveaway to the rich. "
While the leftist punditry is convinced that using taxcuts to put more money in the hands of the populace spells economic disaster, economists aren't as convinced.
"Plus, many conservatives... TRUE conservatives opposed the war in Iraq."
That's great, but polls have consistenly shown very high approval for the war even as casulties have increased, and Dean's fiery rhetoric on this isn't going to help him.
The key here is the July 2004 Iraqi elections. If those can go reasonably well, then it will be apparent that Iraq is on its way in terms of transition to them, it will be very good for Bush.
"Which of course is a gross mischaracterization of vermont, but of course, gross mischarecterizations of states and cities are always allowed. "
What do you mean!? Vermont is a state that has elected a self described socialist as it's sole representative in Congress.
"Dean has a 100% rating from the NRA..for god's sake, 100%!"
Media hype about Dean being pro-gun aside, Dean doesn't want to shield gun manufactures from liability over damage caused by their products(meaning someone could sue a gun manufacturer if a family member was shot). The NRA will inform it's members about the possibility of this "backdoor" way of banning guns(If they become unprofitable to make because of lawsuits). Combined with Dean's other positions:
I think the NRA will still be able to deliver its voters to Bush in 2004.
"Social issues such as gay marriage and abortion. The gay marriage stance is not popular, but most of his social stands are those that appeal most to democracts and centrists."
Partial Birth Abortion too, Dean also favors that. Those two issues should allow Rove to paint Dean as the standard bearer of the far left.
"The War on Iraq: He is not the most leftwing here: Kucinich and Sharpton are. Dean has failed to put together a plan for the future of iraq, and this is the one thing his people must fix- but he is correct in his ciritcism of how Bush went about this, and things in Iraq are as dicey as ever, so this is not an immidtate losing Issue. The Dem so many say is best able to beat Bush, Clark, was also anti-war."
Even majorities of Democrats have said they prefer a candidate who supported the war initally but was critical of how it was handled. Unless things deteriorate badly in Iraq, and I think things will get better, this issue won't help Dean.
"Taxes: "
You may not like the Bush Tax Cuts, but Mondale's 1984 campaign is a good illustration of how popular proposing tax hikes typically.
"The media is out to do a number on him for some reason, but I find it hard to believe that a guy who has raised 40 million mostly from small contributors is "unelectable". "
Comeon, Gepap, you're a political scientist. You should know that the amount of monery raised from Partisans is more of an indicator of how far from the center a mainstream candidate is then anything else.
"The one problem all democratcs have are 2 fold: the Republicans will play the GOD card incessently and even Lieberman would be painted as some wide eyed hippi anti-God type,"
Voters aren't as dumb as you think. A Democratic candidate can talk about religion as much as he wants, but as long as he/she holds to a solid social liberal line he/she won't make any inroads among most religious voters.
While the leftist punditry is convinced that using taxcuts to put more money in the hands of the populace spells economic disaster, economists aren't as convinced.
"Plus, many conservatives... TRUE conservatives opposed the war in Iraq."
That's great, but polls have consistenly shown very high approval for the war even as casulties have increased, and Dean's fiery rhetoric on this isn't going to help him.
The key here is the July 2004 Iraqi elections. If those can go reasonably well, then it will be apparent that Iraq is on its way in terms of transition to them, it will be very good for Bush.
"Which of course is a gross mischaracterization of vermont, but of course, gross mischarecterizations of states and cities are always allowed. "
What do you mean!? Vermont is a state that has elected a self described socialist as it's sole representative in Congress.
"Dean has a 100% rating from the NRA..for god's sake, 100%!"
Media hype about Dean being pro-gun aside, Dean doesn't want to shield gun manufactures from liability over damage caused by their products(meaning someone could sue a gun manufacturer if a family member was shot). The NRA will inform it's members about the possibility of this "backdoor" way of banning guns(If they become unprofitable to make because of lawsuits). Combined with Dean's other positions:
I think the NRA will still be able to deliver its voters to Bush in 2004.
"Social issues such as gay marriage and abortion. The gay marriage stance is not popular, but most of his social stands are those that appeal most to democracts and centrists."
Partial Birth Abortion too, Dean also favors that. Those two issues should allow Rove to paint Dean as the standard bearer of the far left.
"The War on Iraq: He is not the most leftwing here: Kucinich and Sharpton are. Dean has failed to put together a plan for the future of iraq, and this is the one thing his people must fix- but he is correct in his ciritcism of how Bush went about this, and things in Iraq are as dicey as ever, so this is not an immidtate losing Issue. The Dem so many say is best able to beat Bush, Clark, was also anti-war."
Even majorities of Democrats have said they prefer a candidate who supported the war initally but was critical of how it was handled. Unless things deteriorate badly in Iraq, and I think things will get better, this issue won't help Dean.
"Taxes: "
You may not like the Bush Tax Cuts, but Mondale's 1984 campaign is a good illustration of how popular proposing tax hikes typically.
"The media is out to do a number on him for some reason, but I find it hard to believe that a guy who has raised 40 million mostly from small contributors is "unelectable". "
Comeon, Gepap, you're a political scientist. You should know that the amount of monery raised from Partisans is more of an indicator of how far from the center a mainstream candidate is then anything else.
"The one problem all democratcs have are 2 fold: the Republicans will play the GOD card incessently and even Lieberman would be painted as some wide eyed hippi anti-God type,"
Voters aren't as dumb as you think. A Democratic candidate can talk about religion as much as he wants, but as long as he/she holds to a solid social liberal line he/she won't make any inroads among most religious voters.
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