The attack is planned without catapults?
They have +40% and I doubt they'll have any more soon.
It goes like:
+50% city def
+25% hills def
+40% culture
0-25% fortify
possible 20% city defense trained
That's 6.45 - 7.2(7.8 with training) + 1 first strike
versus 6.6 + 2 first strikes of our chukos
IIRC first strike tends to do 10% damage (plus any collateral accumulated) which means 6.48(7.02) real combat strength.
But we're gonna take their 3rd city first, after that cap will be easier.
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