Fantasy Football Discussion III

[SlowwHand]

People here wanted a 3-week playoff system with bye for the top 2. Add in the fact that a 13-week season creates a balanced schedule in our 14-team league and it seemed the stars were aligned.

But the fact is that Yahoo does not offer consolation brackets in any of its 3-week playoff formats. Yahoo did not choose to include that factoid at the time I had to choose our league playoff format. Had I known, there would have been further discussion, I assure you.

So if you want to call that my "fault," feel free.

You slithered out of that pretty well, didn't you?

[Ben Kenobi]

Well if Tuber wants to go on a rampage and destroy all the non-playoff teams, wouldn't a consolation bracket be in order?

[EPW]

"Play every team every week" Luck Chart

Week 13-FINAL

"+" and "-" in parenthesis indicate difference from actual standings.

Team	Wins	Loses	Last Week
1. Belichick Magnets(+2)	121	48	6-7
2. Teh Peeled Bananas(-)	116	53	2-11
2. Forte's Firemen(+2)	116	53	12-1
4. Vicious Rabbits(+7)	100	69	13-0
5. Dallas Dwarf Tossers(-3)	98	71	1-12
6. Jedibolts	96	73	10-3
7. Topeka Twisters(-2)	95	74	5-8
8. Mountain Goats(-)	90	79	7-6
9. Deviations(-)	81	88	9-4
10.Hairball Express(+2)	72	97	4-9
11.Detroit Deity Duo(+2)	71	98	3-10
12.Calamitous Intent(-3)	63	106	8-5
13.Da Boyz(-3)	55	114	11-2
14.The Priapic Love WoW	9	160	0-13

Most Star-Crossed Team:
Vicious Rabbits

Who finished 7 whole ranks lower than expected.

Most Fortunate Teams:
Dallas Dwarf Tossers
Calamitous Intent
Da Boyz

The DDT got the bye week with some serious help from chance. Calamitous Intent and Da Boyz were also rather lucky but were non-playoff contenders.

Special Mentions:
Topeka Twisters - Who made the playoffs despite finishing 7th on the luck chart
Jedibolts - The only "Luck-neutral" team besides the Love WoW.

[Ben Kenobi]

Actually my pythagorean was 7.36 or so. So I'm slightly unlucky to be 7-6.

Love Wow have a pythagorean of 0.69, so they were fairly unlucky to go 0-13.

DDT have a pythagorean of 7.53-5.47, and were 10-3 in reality, so they were +2.47 wins.

They were the luckiest team, sucking up about 40 percent of the total luck in the league.

Vicious Rabbits had a pythagorean of 7.69-5.31, and finished 5-8, so they were -2.69 wins.

So the simplest explanation of the league is that Slowwy was sucking up all the luck from JRabbit.

[EPW]

You are under the false impression that pythagorean is better than my system. But believe what you will.

[Ben Kenobi]

Hmm?

I'm basing the pythagorean off your system. Taking the win percentage and changing it to expected wins.

But then you already knew that.

[-Jrabbit]

Monday morning QBs, looking for the best way to predict the past...

[EPW]

Hmm?

I'm basing the pythagorean off your system. Taking the win percentage and changing it to expected wins.

But then you already knew that.

That's not the Pythagorean method.

FYI: http://www.rawbw.com/~deano/helpscrn/pyth.html

[Ben Kenobi]

JediBolts vs Belichick Magnets:

Second time around for this matchup. Last one resulted in a close win for the Magnets.

QB: Philip Rivers vs Drew Brees.

Lots of stories here. The old gun for the young hire. Personally, I love Brees even more than I love Rivers. I love that he's finally getting his cred as an elite QB. As much as I love Rivers, I don't think he's in Brees' class. Yet. Brees should win this matchup by about 10 points.

WR1: Andre Johnson vs Vincent Jackson

This has been a more lopsided matchup in recent weeks. This week is the time for Vincent Jackson to break out on the Dallas secondary and rack up some points. I still think Andre Johnson will top out Jackson but it will be close.

WR2: Chris Chambers vs Marques Colston. 'Nuff said.

RB1: LaDanian Tomlinson vs Ray Rice. If asked at the beginning of the season that Rice would be ahead of LT, it wouldn't have been thought as too crazy. But Rice almost twice as good as LT? No way. Rice had a poor game last week, and I don't see that changing again this week. Rice will blow this category out.

RB2: Fred Jackson vs Justin Forsett. Fred has a fabulous matchup against KC, and Forsett is still riding the pine for the Seahags. Here's where I get some points back from the LT mismatch.

TE1: Antonio Gates vs Heath Miller. Gates is far stronger.

FLEX: Kenny Britt vs Jason Avant. Britt has a better matchup but this will be closer than the score shows. Also, don't be surprised if it's Garcon vs Avant when gameday arrives.

Other options:

Garcon, Beanie Wells and Larry Johnson vs Braylon Edwards, Antonio Bryant and Derrick Ward.

Garcon and Beanie are substantially better options, but Larry Johnson is somewhat weaker than Derrick Ward. Avant, Edwards, Bryant, Ward and Chambers are all interchangeable albeit weak options for WR2 and the flex spot.

Both Ward and DeShaun are out which is an interesting balance.

K: Nate Kaeding vs Jay Feely. For some reason I think Chargers - Cowboys in the dome will be higher scoring than Jets-Tampa. Kaeding.

Defenses: Even. The Magnets are priced out at about a half a point stronger at each position, so they have a slight advantage. Interestingly, Dashon used to be owned by BM, and now anchors the safety position for the JediBolts, after the injury of Polamalu.

Projection:

It's all on the shoulders of Rice. If he gets 20 points the Magnets will win. If he gets 15 points, than the Magnets will likely lose. I know EPW considers Zopper to be the strongest team, but I consider Snoopy to be the strongest team behind EPW.

BK finally earns an upset to go to his date against Slowwy in the semis. Ben Kenobi

[SlowwHand]

BEN! You'll go against me if you win. You may go against EPW, but it won't be in the semis.

[Berzerker]

I finally got a starting Redskin RB I like

[Ben Kenobi]

Oh, ok. You face the winner of 3-6. Interesting.

I thought it was like in the NFL where it reseeds.

[Berzerker]

gl Sloww, stomp that youngin for me

[Ben Kenobi]

It's Zopper.

[SlowwHand]

It's you or Zopper, and in either case, it's a young'un.



Zopp is so funny. He thinks hiding his lineup does something.