Prediction Thread: When Will Ukraine Conquer Russia

[The Mad Monk]

Nope!

[pchang]

Which corresponds to when Serb has consumed a large amount of alcohol.

[The Mad Monk]

Yes, but usually only when Russia is "winning".

[DinoDoc]

Has Serb commented since Ukraine's Special Military Operation started?

[pchang]

It appears that they are looking for places they can setup for defense thanks to the local geography. This puts pressure on Russia to constantly attack and in a war of attrition, this is to Ukraine's advantage.

[Dinner]

It just seems like border raids to cause distractions and force the enemy to spread out their forces. Supposedly, Ukraine is also doing the same in Briansk (spelling?) to the West of Kursk. Belgorod is east and South of Kursk.

[The Mad Monk]

[BlackCat]

Search for BelgorOd here

[Jon Miller]

Could you link? I follow but not closely.

JM
(I try to remember to pray for Ukraine, Gaza, Israel and Sudan though)
(edit: I also pray for Russia, but sometimes I forget)

[The Mad Monk]

Anyway, as of 8 hours ago, Ukraine has invaded Belgorad Oblast, Russia.

[The Mad Monk]

Oh.

So this is where I found that.

Thanks, giblets!

[Thoth]

[giblets]

[Dinner]

I thought the incurson/invasion/whateversion would be smashed in three days, but it's two week now...

Syrski has been smartly using geography to Ukraine's advantage by keeping large rivers on each flank this preventing Russia from attacking the flanks. Also, there has been no large organized counter attack by Russia just a bunch of disorganized and fragmented local actions by poorly equipped and poorly trained conscripts. The best Russia has managed so far was a lot of air strikes though Ukraine has put some pretty good air defenses in place which has help.

[Geronimo]

I thought the incurson/invasion/whateversion would be smashed in three days, but it's two week now...

On the one-hand this will increase the military manpower that Putin can use against Ukraine by providing an area where we can use Russia's conscripts against Ukraine so this will be bad for Ukraine. On the other hand Ukraine had basically zero leverage vs Russia in any future negotiations and occupying some Russian territory may provide for that to occur. To really evaluate the decision to invade Russia we would need to know how things would've played out had Ukraine not done so for comparison and obviously no amount of elapsed time is going to reveal that. I'm sure every arm chair general will be claiming that however it plays validates what they have been predicting and recommending all along.