Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Prediction Thread: When Will Ukraine Conquer Russia

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Originally posted by Geronimo View Post

    Spoiler:
    I really hope this extrajudicial killing of the head of Quds with 5 of his Iranian attachés and 4 bystander Iraqis doesn't form a large fraction of your opinion that USA is the biggest terrorist in the world.

    The post cold-war US collection of dirty terrorist laundry consists of overt military operations and covert operations. If you want to call the US the biggest terrorist in the world (presumably not just the biggest state that is a terrorist but the state with the largest output in number of terrorist victims) then we should first take stock of what's been done since the end of the Cold War.:

    Lets start with relatively straightforward overt military operations.

    20th century

    Middle East


    1990-1991 Gulf war I - the cold war was barely over and the problem with labelling this operation as a terrorist operation is that everything about it occurred the way international law was designed to allow these "police actions" to occur. On the ground they barely even entered Iraq apart from open desert near the border and the "occupation" ended up being almost entirely "liberated" Kuwaiti territory. I'll take a leap here and assume you won't claim that sort of operation constitutes a terrorist operation. Let me know if you disagree.

    1991 - Iraq continued... a huge nationwide uncoordinated revolt of Suni Kurds and of Shia's against Saddam in anticipation of help from the US+allies and help from Iran. In a few short weeks, the revolts began to fail spectacularly leading to 10's of thousands of civillian casualties and bad optics. A no-fly zone over the Kurds with delivery of food assistance was established as some kind of response. Was this terrorism?

    1992 - Iraq again. Iraq was failing to deliver all of the demands of the treaty forced on it in the wake of a the previous years vast invasion and the US responded with military exercises. I guess treaties imposed by force tend not to be popular with the victim state. Of course this treaty had UN security council mandate behind it. Do you suppose that Minsk I or Minsk II had some kind of UN mandate? Were these US military exercises terrorism?

    1992-2003 northern Iraq no-fly zones were continually enforced. Iraq would eventually lose 4 military aircraft and several SAM sites attempting to defend its own airspace from foreign aircraft imposing an interpretation of UNSCR 688 which Iraq had no means to challenge or have reviewed. Was this terrorism?

    1996 Operation Desert Strike in northern Iraq deployed cruise missiles to destroy Iraqi air defences to shore up the no fly zone and stop Saddam from continuing to interfere in the Kurdish civil war. The KDP continued to win without Iraqi government help anyway and US made no effort to expand the targets beyond air defences which the Iraqis stopped turning on. I suppose this is really only terrorism if the nofly zones were.

    1998 Operation Desert Fox, the US uses airstrikes and cruise missiles to kill a few hundred to a couple thousand Iraqis near former WMD sites that Saddam has thrown WMD inspectors out of. Ironically several inspectors were still present in Iraq and the operation resulted in their complete expulsion. Whether this is terrorism or not hinges at least partly on far you think the vague UNSCR verbiages allow it.

    1999 Yemen. After AQ tried to sink the Cole some troops were setup in Aden. Do you suppose they started the civil war there?

    Balkans
    1992-1996 Bosnia and Herzegovina the US took part in the longest humanitarian airlift in history. I really hope you don't call this terrorism Berz.

    1992-1995 after UNSECR 781 NATO imposed a nofly zone over Bosnia which UNSECR 816 expanded further. The enforcers lost 8 aircraft the Serbs lost 5 aircraft, 4 SAM sites and several SAM vehicles. The Bosnian war had many thoroughly documented cases of ethnic cleansing. 62K Bosniaks, 25K Serbs and 8K Croats would be killed or disappear. Of those, 31K Bosniaks, 21K Serbs and 6k Croats could be identified as soldiers. Was this US terrorism Berz?

    1993-1994 The US deployed 350 troops to North Macedonia as part of a UN Protection Force in 1993 and 200 more in 1994. Terrorism?

    1995: In Bosnia in response to escalating Army of Republika Srpska on the so called UN "Safe areas" UNSECR 836 was passed and NATO operation Deliberate force began. NATO spent 3 weeks dropping and firing various munitions to lift the siege of Sarajevo and attack threats into the "safe areas". The munitions included some depleted uranium rounds which the IAEA later investigated for heatlh impact and found unlikely to have had a detectible effect on civillian health in the area. Was this terrorism?

    1996: frequently helpless IFOR replaced by SFOR established by NATO as part of operation Joint Guard. Terrorism?

    1997: operation Silver Wake used US forces to evacuate US citizens from Albania. Terract?

    1999: NATO operation Allied Force. For 2 and a half months NATO launched airstrikes into Yugoslavia without any new UN security resolution. China and Russia both promised to veto any such resolution. There was also no self defence, or imminent need for self defence, by any NATO member against Yugoslavia. The strike was ostensibly to halt ongoing ethnic cleansing of ethnic Albanians in Kosovo. The operation killed 489 (NATO estimate) or 2,000 (Yugoslav estimate) civilians and 1008 Yugoslav soldiers. In additional to destroying hundreds of military vehicles the operation destroyed a huge Yugoslav radio tower and damaged 19 hospitals, 20 health centers, 69 schools, 176 monuments, 25,000 homes and dozens of bridges. NATO applied some of its strongest pressure by continually dropping carbon fiber munitions on the Yugoslav electrical grid which were designed to short it out for weeks at a time while not permanently destroying the expensive and difficult to replace infrastructure. Russian troops were first to arrive for the peace keeping, paratrooping in and seizing Slatina airport. I certainly can't see how this NATO operation was legal under international treaties and it definitely violated the UN charter. Notably, the sources that were reporting Albanian ethnic cleansing before the operation reported even more afterwards. Was this one of the huge act of US terrorism Berz? How do these numbers compare to Russian involvement in Donbas? How do those numbers compare to Russian special operations to de-nazify Ukraine? You're claiming that the biggest terrorist spot goes to the US right? Certainly not Russia.

    Africa

    1991 Zaire, US planes transported a few hundred European troops and a few hundred evacuees

    1992 Sierra Leone for operation Silver Anvil involved a few hundred troops and US C-141s evacuating a few hundred evacuees.

    1992-1993 Somalia. UNSCR 794 provided for a major US peacekeeping mission which initially led to humanitarian operation restore hope but later resulted in "black Hawk Down" infamy and withdrawal in 1993. If this is terrorism its hard to see what the terrorist US was trying to get from it. It probably goes a long way to explain why nobody was willing to do jack in 1994 when the largest genocide in decades hit the fan.

    1996 Central African Republic operation Quick Response - another evacuation involving a few planes and a couple hundred evacuees. I've got to say I'm not seeing this tactic featuring prominently in most self respecting terrorist states today.

    1997 Sierra Leone evacuation again

    1998 Liberia - another evacuation. I've got to say I'm not seeing this tactic featuring prominently in most self respecting terrorist states today.

    1998 operation Infinite Reach in response to two al-qaeda two attacks on US african embassies blows up about 600 people near two AQ camps and the Al-Shifa pharmaceutical factory which I am sure Berz knows was in fact not blown up for connections to AQ and nerve gas precursors but rather because the big pharma bosses who gave Clinton his marching orders were terrified Sudanese pharmaceuticals production would soon ruin their business in Africa. I'll grant you that was pretty dastardly. (yeah I know some targets were in Afghanistan).

    1998-1999 deployment of a few dozen personnel to coordinate the medical and disaster assistance related to the bombing of the U.S. Embassies in Kenya and Tanzania. That should further terrify them.

    2000 Sierra Leone - naval craft for more evacuations

    2000 Nigeria Special forces are sent to lead a training mission. I'm sure that's just a cover. Maybe Berz can explain what they were really up to there?

    ​Americas

    1994–1995: Haiti: Operation Uphold Democracy, Up to 20,000 U.S. military troops deployed to Haiti to reverse a 1991 coup. The coup leaders were on the payroll of the USA making this one especially embarrasing. This one probably does a lot to shore up the US reputation of a neocon terrorist in that it was to reverse a coup by defacto CIA agents in exchange for a written agreement from Aristide to bound Haiti to an IMF and World Bank set of structural adjustment policies which opened Haiti's protected domestic economy up to foreign trade. On the other hand, like Assad inviting Putin in to help with his Syrian enemies, Aristide as the internationally recognized government of Haiti could confer legality onto the US operation and the documents Aristide had to sign gave no special concessions to Washington. So while this chapter is dark and led to a still grossly impoverished Haiti of today, it's not like we can claim Washington established unique advantage for itself in this one. Is this the sign of the World's biggest terrorist state of of the World's clumsiest most profligate spycraft state?

    East Asia

    1997 Cambodia A task force of 550 spent one night in Utapao Air base in thailand just in case Cambodia needed evacuations. nobody pulled the trigger.

    2000 East Timor a couple dozen US troops supported the UNTAET.

    21st century

    Africa


    2002: Côte d'Ivoire, in response to a rebellion in Côte d'Ivoire, U.S. military personnel went into Côte d'Ivoire to assist in the evacuation of American citizens from Bouaké

    2003 Liberia -US troops evacuation of Americans from Monrovia.

    2007 antipiracy operations off of horn of africa

    2007 Somalia - US uses AC-130 gunship in midst of somali civil war battle to attack AQ operatives.

    2011 Uganda US combat advisors first deployed at Ugandan government request.

    2012 Chad - 50 Us troops for evacuations again

    2013 Mali US provides French forces with fueling and transport aircraft during operation Serval

    2014 - 2017 Uganda a handful of US aircraft and soldiers for the unsuccessful international manhunt for Joseph Kony

    2017 Cameroon - US 300 US troops on training mission for cameroon government

    2021 Somalia more US airstrikes against al Shabab rebels

    Americas

    2001 United States The US grounds all flights into the US and flies air patrols to enforce it

    2004 Haiti. Another decade, another coup against Aristide. The US joins UN force MINUSTAH to restore order.

    2005-2008 Columbia, operation Willing Spirit rescue Americans held by FARC.

    Asia

    2001 PRC mid air crash involving US spy plane and J-811 Chinese fighter in international waters (that PRC claims). The US said it was sorry twice.

    2002 Philippines - US deployment of counterterrorism advisors

    2003 Georgia - US deployment of counterterrorism advisors

    2013 Korea - US, South Korea and Japan spend several months responding to escalating gestures by North Korea.

    Middle East

    2001 -2021 Afghanistan - US operation Enduring Freedom in which the US invokes article 5 and a multinational NATO expeditionary force intervenes in the nearly totally decided Afghani civil war on behalf of the losing factions (especially Northern Alliance) and rolls up almost the entire Taliban in Afghanistan in about 6 weeks with no remaining Taliban control of cities. The operation heavily relied on NA for ground operations and NATO aircraft with overflights granted by almost everybody except Iran and China including Russia and Pakistan. Even Iran provided plenty of intel other indirect assistance against their unloved Taliban neighbors. Total casualties were something around 171K to 212K killed including some 50K civilians. Eventually a NATO ground force/advisor present settled into more than 20 years of $91.4 billion in military aid $20 billion in civilian aid and a whopping $2.26 trillion in US expenses and interest to finance the related debt along with veterans medical and disability. Even though the Taliban had come to have literally no allies at all (even Pakistan was through with them), it still could not really be considered the state sponsor of the attack so the operation would not have been self defense under international law so the application of article 51 was a debatable at best. Does this operation reveal the US as a big terrorist state? If it does I'm having even more trouble understanding your reluctance to recognize Russia's invasion of Ukraine the same way.

    2003-2011 Iraq - US operation Iraqi Freedom where the US invokes vague threats found in previous UNSECRs about Iraq along with intelligence that seems to reveal an Iraqi WMD program to justify an enormous invasion with a "coalition of the willing" to help. This despite the fact that the US and several "coalition" allies tried and failed to get new UNSECRs passed to give extra legal cover for the invasion. The WMD intelligence turned out to be fabricated by the Iraqis to scare away hostile neighbors and this was not admitted until long after the occupation was underway. Regime changes and the associated chaos and destruction caused a demographic dip anywhere from 151,000 to 1 million Iraqis depending on who you ask and which methods you use. The subsequent insurgencies mad ongoing operations topped that with another 150,000 dip as well. Assuming no changes to fertility and worst case explanations for all data there may have been 1.3 million deaths. I don't buy those assumptions but I'm certain that you do Berz. On the other hand I have no problem taking the 3 trillion dollar price tag estimates at face value. That's the US taxpayer borne expenses alone. Insane. Sadly, the vast majority of that is in the form of lost treasure and not juicy government contracts to line the pockets of the neocons sugar daddies.

    2004 Pakistan - the US coordinates drone strikes against taliban and AQ allies and a humanitarian mission to pakistani Kashmiri villages hit by the earthquake

    2006 Lebanon - US 24th Marine expeditionary unit finally departs Lebanon, but only to clear the way for Isreal to attack

    2010-2021 Yemen - US intervenes in the civil war launching dozens of drone strikes against al-Shabaab rebels and ISIS rebels

    2011 Libya - US and allies use UNSECR 1973 to justify intervening in the Libyan civil war.

    2011 Pakistan OBL killed in operation with zero Pakistani notification

    2012 Jordan requests 150 troops to assist with containing syrian civil war.

    2012 Turkey 400 US troops deploy to Turkey to shore up defences

    2014-2021 Iraq again, hundreds of US troops deployed against ISIS

    2014 Syria hundreds of US troops operate in Syria against ISIS

    2014 Yemen US launches a hostage rescue mission

    2017 Syria - US attacks Syrian government forces ostensibly in retaliation for a chemical attack on Syrian civilians

    2018 Syria - US attacks Syrian government forces ostensibly in retaliation for a chemical attack on Syrian civilians

    2020 Iraq US blows up Iranian diplomatic plane on the ground in Iraq killing 6 Iranians and 4 Iraqis

    2021 Syria another US airstrike in Syria this time against iranian millitias

    2021 Afghanistan - US runs away with its tail between its legs. Afghanistan promptly becomes Taliban dumpster fire.

    2021 Syria another US airstrike kills another AQ dude in syria.


    What did I miss? I'll tackle covert operations in another post. and probably come back to edit this one a bit later.

    Thats a lot of bombs dropped on people, any other country in the world matching the USA?

    Lets start with my adult life

    Carter followed by Reagan armed terrorists attacking Afghanistan. Reagan armed both Iraq and Iran in their war, even stole our weapons to sell to Iran and used the $$$ to arm terrorists attacking Nicaragua. That doesn't include numerous other conflicts during the Cold War. Bush invaded Panama and then suckered Saddam into thinking he could take Kuwait as a reward for the war with Iran. Once there Bush and Clinton stayed in Saudi Arabia to enforce sanctions on Iraq.

    “We have heard that half a million [Iraqi] children have died. I mean, that is more children than died in Hiroshima,” asked Stahl, “And, you know, is the price worth it?”

    “I think that is a very hard choice,” Albright answered, “but the price, we think, the price is worth it.”

    That led to 9/11 and the invasion of more countries. We destroyed Libya and shipped their weapons to Turkey to arm terrorists destroying Syria and helped the Saudi genocide in Yemen. At the same time we armed ISIS we backed Azov in their war on the Donbas. That doesn't include assassinations and economic terrorism and other dirty tricks we use to prop up friendly dictators and destroy their competition. Plenty more. What other country comes close to that record?​

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Geronimo View Post
      Lets start with relatively straightforward overt military operations.
      Thats a lot of bombs dropped on people

      Lets start with my adult life

      Carter followed by Reagan armed terrorists attacking Afghanistan. Reagan armed both Iraq and Iran in their war, even stole our weapons to sell to Iran and used the $$$ to arm terrorists attacking Nicaragua. That doesn't include numerous other conflicts during the Cold War. Bush invaded Panama and then suckered Saddam into thinking he could take Kuwait as a reward for the war with Iran. Once there Bush and Clinton stayed in Saudi Arabia to enforce sanctions on Iraq.

      “We have heard that half a million [Iraqi] children have died. I mean, that is more children than died in Hiroshima,” asked Stahl, “And, you know, is the price worth it?”

      “I think that is a very hard choice,” Albright answered, “but the price, we think, the price is worth it.”

      That led to 9/11 and the invasion of more countries. We destroyed Libya and shipped their weapons to Turkey to arm terrorists destroying Syria and helped the Saudi genocide in Yemen. At the same time we armed ISIS we backed Azov in their war on the Donbas. That doesn't include assassinations and economic terrorism and other dirty tricks we use to prop up friendly dictators and destroy their competition. Plenty more. What other country comes close to that record?​​

      Comment


      • Poland to deliver fighter jets to Ukraine in major escalation of military backing

        Four Soviet-era MiG-29s to be sent as first instalment and could lead to other Nato members providing warplanes


        Four old MiGs are certainly not a gamechanger, even if Ukraine gets more what's left of these in Poland, Slovakia or so. But they'll help...

        Blah

        Comment


        • Slovakia now sending 13 MIG-29s to Ukraine

          Slovakia's government has approved a plan to give Ukraine its fleet of 13 Soviet-era MiG-29 fighter jets, becoming the second NATO member country to agree to fulfil the Ukrainian government's pleas for warplanes to help defend against Russia's invasion.
          "I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you're not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration." - Hillary Clinton, 2003

          Comment


          • Originally posted by BeBMan View Post



            Four old MiGs are certainly not a gamechanger, even if Ukraine gets more what's left of these in Poland, Slovakia or so. But they'll help...
            Slovakia is now saying they are going to ship their 13 Mig 29s to Ukraine.

            https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/slovakia-jets-ukraine-russia-1.6781898

            (E
            dit: xpost)
            Libraries are state sanctioned, so they're technically engaged in privateering. - Felch
            I thought we're trying to have a serious discussion? It says serious in the thread title!- Al. B. Sure

            Comment


            • Interesting
              With or without religion, you would have good people doing good things and evil people doing evil things. But for good people to do evil things, that takes religion.

              Steven Weinberg

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Thoth View Post

                Slovakia is now saying they are going to ship their 13 Mig 29s to Ukraine.

                https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/slovakia-jets-ukraine-russia-1.6781898

                (E
                dit: xpost)
                Poland is sending four but has a total of 28 which could be sent. I am not sure about other former eastern block states. Poland still has around 250 upgraded T-72 tanks which they really should send (along with rocket artillery and Soviet IFV). Biden needs to just loan Poland spare American equipment (we have 2500 M1 tanks in storage but not all the latest model) to back stop Poland so that Ukraine gets the equipment it needs for a spring counter offensive. While we are at it NATO needs to massively up the training rate for Ukraine forces because 60,000 a year isn't enough and at least three times that number are needed.

                It is better to end this war in 2023 than to let it linger on. Just decide it is worth making sure Ukraine defeats the invaders and get it done.
                Try http://wordforge.net/index.php for discussion and debate.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by PLATO View Post
                  57% strongly supported or rather supported Maiden in March 2014:

                  Click image for larger version  Name:	Capture.PNG Views:	66 Size:	46.4 KB ID:	9453320


                  Euromaiden Wikipedia entry...reference 161
                  YOU - AMERICA and Europe, have supported the BURNING OF POLICE ALIVE!!!



                  Then you have strongly opposed and protested just a one percent of that, when it came to you!!!

                  Senate and House in recess from confirming the 2020 election results as protesters force lockdown.LIVE COVERAGE: https://abcn.ws/2JQApKR SUBSCRIBE to ABC NEW...



                  A fkn Nation of hypocrites!!!

                  Comment


                  • You LIE, LIE and LIE!!!

                    ALL the time!!!

                    You are all about LIE and double talking!

                    Comment


                    • A fkin EMPIRE OF LIE!!!

                      Comment


                      • More Russian lies coming to light as Russian Ministry of Defense says that its aircraft did not collide with a U.S. Drone. Video released clearly shows the propeller blade (which caused the downing of the drone) bent after the collision.Click image for larger version

Name:	Capture.png
Views:	69
Size:	32.0 KB
ID:	9453756

                        I think it is clear that the Russians will lie when the truth would serve them better. Still their lies do seem to work on some of their own people......
                        "I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you're not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration." - Hillary Clinton, 2003

                        Comment


                        • Imagine a Russian drone flying nearby California and providing data for artilly strikes on your cities.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Serb View Post
                            Imagine a Russian drone flying nearby California and providing data for artilly strikes on your cities.
                            1.) Russian drones are free to fly anywhere that international law allows. The USA helps guarantee that right.
                            2.) Noone will ever get close enough to our cities to be in artillery range
                            3.) Russian military aircraft regularly DO fly close to the coast of California and the U.S. Military responds professionally and legally...unlike the Russians
                            4.) Cities inside Ukraines 1991 boarders are NOT yours
                            "I am sick and tired of people who say that if you debate and you disagree with this administration somehow you're not patriotic. We should stand up and say we are Americans and we have a right to debate and disagree with any administration." - Hillary Clinton, 2003

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by PLATO View Post

                              4.) Cities inside Ukraines 1991 boarders are NOT yours
                              How about the 9th century?

                              Comment


                              • Kiev is the capital of Russia.

                                Comment

                                Working...
                                X