Prediction Thread: When Will Ukraine Conquer Russia

[The Mad Monk]

Communism? Bah. Look at the Tsars. Go back as many centuries as you like.

[The Mad Monk]

They had Peter The Great and Catherine The Great. All the others? Not So Great.

[The Mad Monk]

Even in PTG's time, corruption in the quartermasters of the army was rampant. As was abuse of the rank and file.

[Geronimo]

How's that cognitive dissonance going...? 🙄

What are the two or more mutually exclusive concepts they are trying to believe simultaneously?

[Jon Miller]

They had Peter The Great and Catherine The Great. All the others? Not So Great.

Stalin? Lenin? They were only in one game each.

JM

[Geronimo]

Ukraine's future, and reality, in this case...

you can't generally have cognitive dissonance involving totally unsettled future events and the special military operation has constantly stymied well qualified and knowledgeable prognosticators. Ukraine could still spectacularly "win" the conflict and Russia could still spectacularly "lose" it. For example, just 3 days ago Saudi Arabia announced plans to massively increase oil output in December which would be disastrous for Russia and Russia's "ally" Iran economically while a welcome stimulus for almost all of Ukraine's allies.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/how-saudi-arabia-could-create-a-crisis-for-russias-economy/ar-AA1sb3gC

[N35t0r]

There are reportedly 10k North Korean troops on the front.

But sure, Russia is doing fine.

https://www.twz.com/news-features/thousands-of-north-korean-troops-to-help-russia-fight-ukraine-reports

[Ming]

There are already reports of Korean troops deserting...

[Geronimo]

what is your actual message with respect to the special military operation and the response of other countries to it Mobius? Is it that the they should stop sending military aid so that Ukrainian resistance is hugely degraded and hopefully collapses so that Russia can depose the regime in Kiev? This will end the fighting and somehow save lives and is inevitable anyway so the sooner the better? Or instead is it that you told us so since before this even hit the fan and this will end badly because nobody listened to you in time and now they should just keep doing what they are doing since it's too late but it's fun to gloat about being right? What are you advocating?

[BeBMan]

I think them North Koreans are just there for the 1000-day celebrations of the 3-days war which we're hitting in a few days.

[Ming]

Gee... so I guess the terrorists in the middle east should never have launched their attacks on Israel. Look what it got them. They should never have allowed it to happen. They should just roll over and concede whatever Israel wants before more damage occurs.

[giblets]

Weird how no one (except the French) seems to roll over and accept a foreign invader

[Geronimo]

End the war now, while they still can.

They should have never taken sides and risked war in the first place.

If they're lucky, Russia might be persuaded to freeze the current lines - but I doubt it. I would insist on the totality of the 4 'Russian' oblasts, if I were Putin.

Ukraine needs to do this before it is broken on the battlefield militarily. Otherwise, Russia could potentially add the other 4 Russian speaking oblasts, which would include Odessa, and why not...?

That's the simple version. 😉

Can we also agree that Ukraine's advance into Kursk has been a colossal strategic failure for them... Like I called it from the beginning. 🙄

when did they "take sides"? was it when they failed to recognize Russian annexation of Crimea? What makes the 4 Russian oblasts "Russian" is it that most of the inhabitants speak Russian instead of Ukrainian? Are we sure about that?

How do you know Ukraine will be so broken on the battlefield that it will lose all 4 of the demaded oblasts in their entirety? Even if the eastern front collapses that would still leave Russia a hell of a lot of work to somehow reconquer Kherson again.

We might just as well move on to the less simple version IMHO if you can spare the time.

[BeBMan]

Weird how no one (except the French) seems to roll over and accept a foreign invader

French Scalp missiles have been used quite effectively by Ukraine. It's the same type as the Brit Storm Shadow.

Both were key in forcing the Black Sea Fleet back, and ensure grain exports again.

Which is funny because the Black Sea Fleet used Sevastopol since the 1700s or somesuch.

[The Mad Monk]