Final Predictions for U.S. Elections

[Boris Godunov]

Polls are closed in eastern IN and KY. No results will come out for another hour, though.

[Boris Godunov]

While I'm not putting much stock in exit polls right now, CNN is reporting that new voters went for Obama 72%-27%

[Deity Dude]

Originally posted by Boris Godunov
DD: The new House is seated January 3rd, so no, the current House does not have to make the decision. If the Congressional Dems wanted to punt it to the next Congress, they could.

OK we're almost at the "back and forth getting nowhere point", but a few quick rebuttals and then I'll let it rest.

The Constitution does say "immediately". It doesn't say wait for a new congress or wait for the next congress nor does it stand quiet as to when the House should decide. It says "immediately".

The House could theoretically end in a tie but since the Senate has a tie-breaker it can't. That is why it specifically says that whoever the Senate chooses as VP will be acting president if no decision is made by January 20th. If the Senate could end in a tie they would have had a procedure for what to do. The only way this is possible is if the old Senate takes the vote "immediately" because the new Senate would not have a President of the Senate until the new VP is determined. In which case there could theoretically be a tie in the Senate.

Earlier it was stated that the VP only has tie-breaker votes on legislative issues. This from the US Senate's own website:

While vice presidents have used their votes chiefly on legislative issues, they have also broken ties on the election of Senate officers, as well as on the appointment of committees in 1881 when the parties were evenly represented in the Senate.

http://www.senate.gov/artandhistory/history/common/briefing/Vice_President.htm

Thus there is a precedent for the tie-breaking vote to be used for non-legislative purposes and specifically to break ties on elections.

In actuality I think there would be way too much pressure on the Senate to give Obama the VP he wanted and at least 1 would go with the Dems.

[Kuciwalker]

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[Kidlicious]

Looks like some peoples predictions are already shown to be wrong. Mine are still good.

[Dinner]

Still no word on MO.

How can they call the entire west coast including HA and not MO?

[Kidlicious]

Poo, McCain just got AZ. I lose.

[Dinner]

MT is also unexpectedly tight.

[Dinner]

Originally posted by Kidicious
Poo, McCain just got AZ. I lose.

You can always feel better by watching some porn featuring some young girl from Arizona State.

[Boris Godunov]

Obama is going to lose MO, it seems. But he is looking good in IN.

[Guynemer]

He's still got a shot in MO, only half of St. Louis is in according to the MSNBC.com map, plus a suburn Kansas City county...

[Blaupanzer]

All ovr guys. Get some rest.

[MrFun]

I guess I have to wait until tomorrow to see the California and Florida results on the despicable anti-gay amendments.

[Imran Siddiqui]

Ok, now Obama can't win any more states for me to hit the EC on the nose .

[EPW]

Originally posted by MrFun
I guess I have to wait until tomorrow to see the California and Florida results on the despicable anti-gay amendments.

You don't, its going to pass