Final Predictions for U.S. Elections

[Boris Godunov]

Imran's just copying Karl Rove. Who copied me from the last thread.

[Imran Siddiqui]

I've had this prediction for a few weeks now (in an office pool)

[Imran Siddiqui]

I made it on October 17th, to be more specific.

[Boris Godunov]

Uh-huh, sure.

[Imran Siddiqui]

I can forward it to you from my work email if you'd like... just post yours here

[RGBVideo]

Obama 53.1
McCain 45.9

[RGBVideo]

That brings the EC score to... 396/142 for Obama.

House: Democrats gain 30 seats
Senate: Democrats gain 7 seats: AK CO NC NH NM OR VA.

i wanted the map to work with the post so I stealth edited that post for around a zillion times

[MrFun]

According to that map, Washington DC is going to go for McCain?


Isn't Washington DC something like 90 percent Democrat?

[RGBVideo]

Well yeah obviously, DC goes Democratic with over 15 points.

It's too small to notice in the map. I originally had drawn the map with Democrats as color red.

[Rufus T. Firefly]

Well, I've been a lifelong Democrat and a lifelong Cubs fan, so I'm going to be just a bit less optimistic than you guys:

PRESIDENT
Obama: 50.5% 286 Electoral Votes (Kerry states plus IA, VA, NM, and CO)
McCain: 47% 252 Electoral Votes

U.S. SENATE
Agree with OP; Dems pick up the 8 Boris named, GOP picks up nada.

U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
I'm going to counter my lack of optimism in the presidential prediction with wild optimism here: 101-seat majority -- Dems 268 (33-seat pickup), GOP 167.

THIS THREAD
In a closely-fought race, Ben Kenobi will say the most laughably absurd thing, DinoDoc the most bitter, and Sloww the most inscrutable/incoherent.

Aside to Boris:

The Democrats will pick up a net gain of 27 house seats, bringing their majority to 99 seats, 262-173.

That's as 89-seat margin, not 99 seats.

[Boris Godunov]

Originally posted by VJ
Well yeah obviously, DC goes Democratic with over 15 points.

Try about a 90-10 margin for Obama.

[Boris Godunov]

Originally posted by Rufus T. Firefly
Aside to Boris:

That's as 89-seat margin, not 99 seats.

Your entitled to your math, I have THE math.

[Lancer]

My prediction is that McCain wins and if he doesn't then Obama wins.

[Zkribbler]

Obama pulls ahead 15-6 in early voting:

Obama wins in earliest vote in tiny Dixville Notch, NH


DIXVILLE NOTCH, N.H. (AP) — Democrat Barack Obama came up a big winner in the presidential race in Dixville Notch, N.H., where the nation's first Election Day votes were cast and counted early Tuesday.

Obama defeated John McCain 15-6. Independent Ralph Nader was also on the ballot, but received no votes.

The first voter, following tradition established in 1948, was picked ahead of the midnight voting and the rest of the town's 21 registered voters followed suit in Tuesday's first minutes.

Town Clerk Rick Erwin says the northern New Hampshire town is proud of its tradition, but says the most important thing is that the turnout represents a 100 percent vote.

President Bush won the vote in Dixville Notch in 2004 on the way to his re-election

I'm puzzled by the number of votes. I though Dixville Notch had only 19 registered voters. IIRC, it has 19 voting booths -- no waiting.

[Lancer]

Dicksville