It seems like the Dems will be taking both houses of Congress.

[Drake Tungsten]

That being said, I wouldn't put too much stock into any of these polls results. Polls just aren't as accurate (or useful) as they once were.

edit: A little something that goes along with Dan's comment...

What's with the polls?

In 2004, the electorate that went to the polls or voted absentee was, according to the adjusted NEP exit poll, 37 percent Democratic and 37 percent Republican. In party identification, it was the most Republican electorate since George Gallup conducted his first random sample poll in October 1935.

But most recent national polls show Democrats with an advantage in party identification in the vicinity of 5 percent to 12 percent. Party identification usually changes slowly. Historically, voters have switched from candidates of one party to candidates of the other more readily than they have changed their party identification.

Over time, big changes in party ID can and do occur. When I started in the polling business, in 1974, national party identification was almost 50 percent Democratic and not much more than 25 percent Republican.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2006/10/the_story_behind_the_polls.html

[Arrian]

At this point, why even bother with polls? Election day is tomorrow, ffs. Just go vote and we'll know by Wednesday (barring any hanging chad nonesense).

-Arrian

[Ogie Oglethorpe]

Either way come Wednesday some people are gonna be pissed. Its what makes 'poly so much fun.

[Drake Tungsten]

Hear, hear. I can't wait.

[Winston]

Republicans will hold onto both houses, and I'm soo looking forward to seeing the reaction here.

:headless chickens:

[Ramo]

Rasmussen has specifically been looking at party ID since '04. He's noticed that the GOP is down IIRC 5 points since the last election, and the Dems are roughly at where they were before.

[Drake Tungsten]

I still think it's unlikely that the GOP will hold the House.

[Winston]

I think they'll just make it.

Anyway, post in the prediction thread - there's still time!

[Dinner]

It's looking like the Dems will take the house while the Reps will likely have a 51-49 advantage and at worse a 50-50 splite in the Senate.

That's what happens when 40 of your Senate seats aren't even up for election.

[Winston]

Originally posted by Oerdin
That's what happens when 40 of your Senate seats aren't even up for election.

Who on earth told you that!?

[Zkribbler]

It should be 2/3 of the 100 who aren't up for election this time, or about 66 2/3 of them.

[Zkribbler]

Originally posted by Winston
Republicans will hold onto both houses . .

I can't decide whether I'd like that or not.

If the Repugs are totally in charge for the next 2 years, then they will be totally to blame for this carwreck of a nation after another 2 years of their mismanagement. That'll mean in 2008, the Dems will take over the House, the Senate, White House and even more governorships.

On the other hand, if the Dems take over the House now, they can start holding hearings on how we blundered into Iraq, on no-bid contract awards to Haliburton to rebuild Iraq and New Orleans, on Abramoff bribery, etc. That'd be a lot of fun.

[Rufus T. Firefly]

Originally posted by Zkribbler
It should be 2/3 of the 100 who aren't up for election this time, or about 66 2/3 of them.

Right, but 40 of those are currently held by the GOP, which I think was Oerdin's point. Basically, a lot more GOP seats are going to be in the mix in 2008, which makes the Dems taking the Senate that year more likely.

[DinoDoc]

Originally posted by Zkribbler
If the Repugs are totally in charge for the next 2 years, then they will be totally to blame for this carwreck of a nation after another 2 years of their mismanagement. That'll mean in 2008, the Dems will take over the House, the Senate, White House and even more governorships.

If the Dems can't pull off winning at least the House this year given all the advantages the Republicans have seen fit to give them, what makes you think they'd be able to do it in 2 years?

[Zkribbler]

...a childlike faith in Republicans that they will be able to lead us into an unending parade of financial, ethical and political disasters.