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Uni-polar or bi-polar world?

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  • Uni-polar or bi-polar world?

    So what grants more peace and stability in the end? A uni-polar world with only one superpower or a bi-polar (or even multi-polar) world with several "power poles"? Or have both systems just different "types" of characteristical conflict lines, with their own potential for instability and wars?

    Obviously we now live in an uni-polar world. Only one superpower means more stability (so a common pro argument) etc. because several big powers with colliding interests lead automatically into a conflict, possibly into a cold war (with the danger of turning into a hot war) between those powers. If there´s however only one superpower, it can enforce its vision of a world order, which would mean more stability (if we like the kind of world order is another question).

    When we look at the cold war between USA and USSR one could also say that those two powers limited eachother effectively over decades without the big bang and created stability in this way. And a single superpower may be able to enforce its interests, but this doesn´t mean that different interests are gone - they are just "covered", because everyone else is unable to confront the only superpower.

    All irrelevant, since we have now only one superpower? But what should be the goal for the rest, should countries like China, Russia or even the EU try to level the power gap between them and the US as best they can? Even if they do not reach total equality in all terms - serious efforts would at least require reaction from America, perhaps question the USA´s status as No. 1. and could enable those countries to strenghten their own positions against the US.

    I even think a bi- or multi-polar world could work without major conflicts between the powers, but only if all share a common vision of international law (which isn´t the case currently), if they all act within a system of international "framework" (here I considered to post UN instead, but I think this is not the best example ). This seems to work excellent within the micro-world of the EU, where wars seem impossible between the members, but can it work for the world?
    Blah

  • #2
    War between the members impossible?
    And you're from Germany, you say?


    As far as super powers, don't leave out Canada.
    Canada is what keeps the USA safe.
    Life is not measured by the number of breaths you take, but by the moments that take your breath away.
    "Hating America is something best left to Mobius. He is an expert Yank hater.
    He also hates Texans and Australians, he does diversify." ~ Braindead

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    • #3
      Uni-polar is the most stable. The more poles you have, the more unstable the situation gets (with exceptions).
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      • #4
        Sloww: "seem impossible" I wrote

        At least that´s what the other members should think
        Blah

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        • #5
          Originally posted by SlowwHand
          Canada is what keeps the USA safe.
          As a buffer zone?
          “As a lifelong member of the Columbia Business School community, I adhere to the principles of truth, integrity, and respect. I will not lie, cheat, steal, or tolerate those who do.”
          "Capitalism ho!"

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          • #6
            I have to go, but want to troll long enough to point out a true fact, in regard to poles.


            Penquins.
            They're only found south of the equator, and are even in Australia; but NOT at North Pole.

            That's it. All I have.
            I don't know what you can do with the information, but there you have it.
            Life is not measured by the number of breaths you take, but by the moments that take your breath away.
            "Hating America is something best left to Mobius. He is an expert Yank hater.
            He also hates Texans and Australians, he does diversify." ~ Braindead

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            • #7
              Actually, bipolar is considered the most stable. It's not a perfect system by any means, but it does keep conflicts to a minimum due to cancelling each other out. Multi-polar is the most unstable, because then superpowers can play off one another and form alliances to temporarily shift the balance of power, but not in a stable, lasting way. Unipolar is more stable than this, but less so than bipolar.
              "The French caused the war [Persian Gulf war, 1991]" - Ned
              "you people who bash Bush have no appreciation for one of the great presidents in our history." - Ned
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              • #8
                It seems that we have a weak unipolar world right now. By this I mean that nobody can create an opposite pole to the US, but the US has much less relative power than the Roman Empire, for instance.

                Germany can disagree with the US without too much consequence, for instance. On the other hand, France is in la la land if it thinks it can challenge US power.

                Because the US is a fairly weak unipole, it may not be interested foremost in stability, per se. Rather, it may be more interested in countering other threats and projecting its power.

                Stability is not a good thing to go after, because the ends will always justify the means. Freedom will always be subsumed by Colonialism. On the other hand, a bipolar world relies on a balance of power, which the US has never liked because it harkens back to European power politics.

                Overall, I think a weak unipole system is dandy, if the unipole neither overestimates nor underestimates its power. If this happens, the unipole will largely mind its own business, and will be a fairly benign force.
                I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891

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                • #9
                  As a buffer zone?
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                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Drake Tungsten
                    Uni-polar is the most stable. The more poles you have, the more unstable the situation gets (with exceptions).
                    But we´re speaking about superpowers here. There are onyl some countries which have the potential, so there will never be dozens of them...

                    And with only a handful that accept a kind of consensus stability could be higher in the end. Well, yes it is speculative, but one could say a similar system works within Europe.
                    Blah

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                    • #11
                      Bipolar was great. All those people living happy under the Soviet block. And Asia was never more peaceful.
                      “As a lifelong member of the Columbia Business School community, I adhere to the principles of truth, integrity, and respect. I will not lie, cheat, steal, or tolerate those who do.”
                      "Capitalism ho!"

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                      • #12
                        Lets see, there's the north pole and then there's the south pole. that makes two, right? So I'll go for a bipolar world.

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                        • #13
                          Bipolar disorder!
                          “As a lifelong member of the Columbia Business School community, I adhere to the principles of truth, integrity, and respect. I will not lie, cheat, steal, or tolerate those who do.”
                          "Capitalism ho!"

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                          • #14
                            bipolar isn't too happy. then, you're not too sad. then, you're not too happy again.
                            B♭3

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                            • #15
                              Multipolar would be the best.

                              Bipolar sucked, because the two poles could not keep their hands to themselves.

                              Unipolar sucks even more, because the remaining pole just decided to put his dirty hands on everything.

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