Iowa

[Winston]

From over here, it looks as if Iowa Democratic Caucus is just a euphemism for the much more accurate Iowa Democratic Circus.

But of all the trained seals, I still view John Kerry as being most likely to get the biggest applause of the night.

[PLATO]

Originally posted by Shi Huangdi
I suspected Gephardt at first, but he seems to split in the polls. Dean seems to have the advantage, being only 3 points down with a stronger organization.

?? Gephardt has the strongest organization by far. The Union organization is at his disposal plus he has been campaigning in the state for 15 years.

[PLATO]

The news is reporting a huge turnout. This appears to be working to the detrement of those with the big organizations

[Shi Huangdi]

"?? Gephardt has the strongest organization by far. The Union organization is at his disposal plus he has been campaigning in the state for 15 years."

Yes, but Dean's is stronger then Kerry's

Foxnes just released the entrance polls:

Kerry 29%
Dean 22%
Edwards 22%
Gerphardt 16%

Keep in mind this could well change, as at caucuses people actually discuss the candidates and can change, and 40-50% of people have said their minds are not maid up. Still, Kerry has a pretty substantive lead and it will be hard to knock him off.

[POTUS]

No, most of the turn-out is union members driving people who normally don't attend to the cacuas.

[SlowwHand]

Gephardt's Going Down

Poll Finds Kerry Leads Tight Iowa Race
20 minutes ago


By RON FOURNIER, AP Political Writer

DES MOINES, Iowa - Democratic presidential candidates vied for victory Monday across the chilly precincts of Iowa, the first step in the battle to face President Bush (news - web sites) this fall. John Kerry (news - web sites) was leading in preliminary results of an Associated Press survey of Iowa Democrats taken as they entered the caucus sites.

The survey showed John Edwards (news - web sites) and Howard Dean (news - web sites) battling for second, and **** Gephardt (news - web sites), the winner of the 1988 caucuses, trailing.

[Shi Huangdi]

Internal polls are showing Edwards begin to pull ahead of Dean. If Dean finishes 3rd place here, it would be devestating for his campaign.

[Shi Huangdi]

More entrance poll numbers are:

Kerry 31%
Edwards 24%
Dean 21%
Gephardt 15%

Things are looking really bad for Dean and Gephardt.

[Shi Huangdi]

With 20% precincts in:

Kerry 34%
Edwards 31%
Dean 18%

[PLATO]

IMHO Edwards has the best chance against Bush.

[POTUS]

He has no experience.

[DanS]

Very interesting results. Edwards is clearly a huge winner here. Kerry will get a big boost going into New Hampshire. The presumptive front-runners got hammered.

It just goes to show that politics is very unpredictable and that's why we all go out to vote.

[POTUS]

It is only beginning, we won't know the final results until much later.

[SlowwHand]

Gephardt didn't visit Iowa.
Who else blew off all of Iowa, besides MrYouknowwho?

[DanS]

44% of the precincts have reported. That and the entry polls are a pretty good indication.

Gephardt was given no respect, apparently. What happened to his labor legions?