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Prediction Thread: When Will Ukraine Conquer Russia

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  • Berzerker
    commented on 's reply
    And supporting Assange? Our taxes fund and arm Ukraine, that makes us complicit in their crimes.

  • Berzerker
    replied
    Originally posted by Geronimo View Post

    Putin's little green men were to establish a frozen conflict that Putin hoped he could leverage to weaken ukraine at minimal cost to Russia.

    Putins little green men (actually just Putin himself perhaps since nobody else is permitted to express an original thought on foreign policy) wanted Minsk to get the UA out of Donbas so he could start the special operation with that much more of a head start.

    Putin has broken every treaty and agreement with Ukraine. I find it laughable that you conflate him signing a treaty as him accepting, let alone endorsing its terms.

    For Putin, treaties are just a weapon to use against lesser gullible powers.
    That sounds like our plan... still is our plan. A frozen conflict to bleed Russia. Prighozin just made a video criticizing foreign policy. So Putin spent 8 years defending the Donbas from Kiev to get a head start when he went for Kiev? Wouldn't he invade sooner before Nato armed and trained the Ukrainians and come from Belarus? Are you saying Putin rigged the vote in the Donbas in support of Minsk because the people living there opposed it and wanted to be attacked by Kiev?

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  • Broken_Erika
    replied
    They also made an MBT based on the T-80

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  • Dinner
    replied
    Originally posted by PLATO View Post

    Ammunition for Russian systems is a critical component for Ukrainian air defense. I have seen the same reports that ammunition for these systems is very low. Not sure if S-300 and Buk ammunition was ever built in Ukraine but I imagine they may be able to produce some internally if they were able to fabricate equipment and had the specs.

    This brings to mind an interesting question I have not seen addressed anywhere...What is the state of Ukrainian domestic arms production and what are they producing?
    I heard they were producing their own AFV before the current invasion but the only buyer was Ukraine and Iraq while Iraq ended up rejecting them all for bad quality control. Frames not being square, armored panels not being installed correctly, etc... My guess is it needs more development time. Not sure about what other domestic systems they might have. In Soviet times they specialized in aircraft and missiles so they might have some stuff in their fields.

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  • Geronimo
    replied
    Originally posted by PLATO View Post

    It was the distance involved. The Patriot was the only system with the range to attack the aircraft.
    This development could also help with the unfavorable financial trade off use of $4 million patriot missiles to intercept russian air launched ballistic missiles has been. Just intercept the airframe that will launch before it can do so and the resulting 2-for-the-price-of-1 goes a long way to make the patriot interception a better bargain.

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  • Geronimo
    replied
    Originally posted by Berzerker View Post
    https://youtu.be/mS8YOjvUtJc

    Ukrainian kill lists... cuz they love freedom and democracy
    Are they talking about Myrotvorets?

    Who calls it a kill list? Strange that it has led to the arrests of 1000+ people if it is a hit list of people to kill.

    What government doesn't maintain public lists of people it plans to arrest? The biggest issue human rights observers have had is the doxing of everybody on it because the list includes several journalists.

    if you want to protect journalists start by opposing Putin.

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  • PLATO
    commented on 's reply

  • Broken_Erika
    replied
    I believe the cruise missiles that sunk the Moskva were designed and built in Ukraine. Well, technically they were based on an old soviet design but with modern engine and electronics....

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  • PLATO
    replied
    Originally posted by Dinner View Post
    My understanding is Ukraine is running low on S-300s while Buks are to short on range. That just leaves Patriots though I believe the Italians are preparing to send an Italian designed system.
    Ammunition for Russian systems is a critical component for Ukrainian air defense. I have seen the same reports that ammunition for these systems is very low. Not sure if S-300 and Buk ammunition was ever built in Ukraine but I imagine they may be able to produce some internally if they were able to fabricate equipment and had the specs.

    This brings to mind an interesting question I have not seen addressed anywhere...What is the state of Ukrainian domestic arms production and what are they producing?

    Leave a comment:


  • PLATO
    replied
    Originally posted by Geronimo View Post

    I'm surprised that a patriot was needed for a bomber. Aren't they generally easy targets for conventional air defences?
    It was the distance involved. The Patriot was the only system with the range to attack the aircraft.

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  • Dinner
    replied
    My understanding is Ukraine is running low on S-300s while Buks are to short on range. That just leaves Patriots though I believe the Italians are preparing to send an Italian designed system.

    Leave a comment:


  • Geronimo
    replied
    Originally posted by PLATO View Post

    Pentagon says unit is fully repaired and back in service. Russia's "destruction" of a Patriot battery took less than 48 hours to fix.

    In other news, The Patriot just shot down a Russian bomber.
    I'm surprised that a patriot was needed for a bomber. Aren't they generally easy targets for conventional air defences?
    Last edited by Geronimo; May 19, 2023, 11:03.

    Leave a comment:


  • Geronimo
    replied
    For the record, often when discussing Ukraine with Berz, or Serb or any other Putin supporter/Putin believer, I will refer to the removal of Viktor Yanukovych, lawfully elected in internationally observed free elections, as a "coup". I do so not because I believe his ouster technically qualifies as a coup, but largely because whether or not it was a coup is totally irrelevant to what Russia would or would not be justified in doing to Ukraine. I generally don't want to get the discussion off on a tangent so I call it coup as well.

    Having said all that, it totally was not a coup. Even if I don't think his ouster was a good idea and that the Ukrainians should have tried voting him out, at least once, his removal was perfectly legal.

    Leave a comment:


  • PLATO
    replied
    Originally posted by Dinner View Post

    The reality is one unit was slightly damaged but still functional from a small explosion near it. All of the "unstoppable" missiles Russia launched got shot down.
    Pentagon says unit is fully repaired and back in service. Russia's "destruction" of a Patriot battery took less than 48 hours to fix.

    In other news, The Patriot just shot down a Russian bomber.

    Leave a comment:


  • PLATO
    replied
    Originally posted by Berzerker View Post

    The guy was democratically elected and fled for his life after he was blamed for 100+ people killed in a right wing coup. Vote against us and we will murder people, free and democratic. The people who did that went around killing dissidents and they attacked eastern Ukrainians who overwhelmingly voted for the man for not supporting their coup. Those are the facts as I know them. Its bizarre how people outraged by Jan 6 have no problem with a bloodbath in Kiev and arming Nazis to go on a rampage.
    Okay Berz...I am beginning to wonder about your cognitive abilities here. The former President of Ukraine was removed from office using a Constitutional process by the Parliament elected at the same time he was.

    Pretty easy to understand. This makes it NOT a coup.

    Not sure why this is so hard to understand. I guess you just keep spouting it in the hopes people won't do the research on what really happened?

    Leave a comment:

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