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Reports now say that there are 150,000 + Russian troops in southern Ukraine. Defense fortifications are all but done. From what I am reading, they have almost no ability to go on the offensive. If Ukraine cannot achieve a meaningful breakthrough in their offensive then we could be looking at an attritional conflict that the West probably won't have a long tern appetite for. This would be a win for Russia. I think it is hard to overestimate the importance of the coming Ukrainian offensive. It will, I believe, be the pivotal moment of the entire war.
Russia sits on nearly 20% of Ukraine's territory. They may be inept as a superpower but they are an enormous and heavily armed force. Without a major victory in the counter-offensive, then I believe the only way to oust Russia from Ukraine would be direct Western involvement...and I just can't see that happening.
Zelensky says they could be successful now but waiting until they are better prepared will help limit casualties. Is this to better train troops? Is it waiting on more equipment? Does he need more time to prep the battlefield?
Is there any gain to Russia for the Ukrainians to wait? There defenses are fairly complete.
When the history of this war is written, the answers to these questions will be quite interesting. For Ukrainians, the answers will make a big difference for many of them between freedom and oppression.
Russia sits on nearly 20% of Ukraine's territory. They may be inept as a superpower but they are an enormous and heavily armed force. Without a major victory in the counter-offensive, then I believe the only way to oust Russia from Ukraine would be direct Western involvement...and I just can't see that happening.
Zelensky says they could be successful now but waiting until they are better prepared will help limit casualties. Is this to better train troops? Is it waiting on more equipment? Does he need more time to prep the battlefield?
Is there any gain to Russia for the Ukrainians to wait? There defenses are fairly complete.
When the history of this war is written, the answers to these questions will be quite interesting. For Ukrainians, the answers will make a big difference for many of them between freedom and oppression.
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