Thread for obviously newsworthy stuff

[Broken_Erika]

It's all the democrats and lamestream media's fault!

Suspect package 'found at De Niro restaurant'
A suspect package similar to those sent to senior public figures has been sent to a New York restaurant owned by the actor Robert De Niro, US media say.

The device arrived at the Tribeca Grill in Manhattan early on Thursday local time, US media said, citing police.

Former Vice-President Joe Biden has also reportedly received packages.

If confirmed as an explosive device, this would be the ninth perceived critic of President Donald Trump to receive such a package this week.

......
Shortly after the news broke, President Trump appeared to pin the blame on the media, tweeting: "A very big part of the Anger we see today in our society is caused by the purposely false and inaccurate reporting of the Mainstream Media that I refer to as Fake News."
......
The first was found near the home of billionaire businessman George Soros, a major Democratic Party donor.

Other devices were sent to the following individuals, according to the FBI:

• Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
• Former President Barack Obama
• Former Vice-President Joe Biden
• Former CIA Director John Brennan, care of CNN
• Former Attorney General Eric Holder
• California Democratic Congresswoman Maxine Waters

...
Republican Congressman Steve Scalise, who nearly died after he was shot in 2017 by a deranged supporter of progressive Senator Bernie Sanders during a morning softball practice, wrote in Fox News on Thursday of the "growing list of violent or threatening actions taken against conservatives by Democrats".

"The threats and the violence have not let up and instead of seeing my Democrat colleagues calling for an end, there have been calls for their supporters to keep going, to do even more to threaten Republicans," he wrote.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-45975447

[ZEE]

Down the board, baby. And I voted Conservative on every state amendment except to outlaw dog racing. Not sure what side that is but I don't want that **** in my state.

Also I just started a sentence with 'And,' when I walk to the store cops snake me like I am a gang boss, my 'homies' scramble and snake me like the cops do, and I can summon any demon I want almost without effort. Not sure how it happened...

BUT I'M KINDA A BIG DEAL NOW.

[spambot]

tasty snack for killer whales

[BeBMan]

https://borneobulletin.com.bn/plump-seal-at-osaka-aquarium-may-steal-your-heart/

[ZEE]

One can only dream. Thank you for that wonderful thought!

[Proteus_MST]

Well, in 2024 the Leftists can try to gain the Presidency again.

You mean, if there are still free elections in 2024 and Trump hasn't declared himself Emperor for Lifetime yet

[ZEE]

Well, in 2024 the Leftists can try to gain the Presidency again.

[Aeson]

Incompetence saves lives!

[Uncle Sparky]

Trump supporters failed to kill Obama and the Clintons.

[Uncle Sparky]

If you didn't mark the ballot with blood, they won't count it...

[Uncle Sparky]

♪♪ Hitler had only one small ball,
Goebbels, he had no balls at all.. ♪♪

[Aeson]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U3ZIe6h8ifw

[ZEE]

Daddy is going to give me a good nut tonight.

[ZEE]

I just did early voting, you guise...

REPUBLICAN DOWN THE BOARD LOL

You bleeder slime are not ready to hold The Tablets. I do not interfere in Daddy's business, and right now we are in the Age of Diamonds. I will support them until The Turning.

Even if it means my failure. That is why I am a good boy.

[Jon Miller]

And this is why their analysis is wrong. AZ, IN, FL, MO, NV, MT are all true tossups. They also drop ND to Likely R, but Heitkamp is down by 10 and MT is within 3. ND at this point is Safe R. Texas is Likely R, not Lean, same with Tennessee.

Subtle, systematic bias across the spectrum is going to greatly distort their results.

It's not symmetric. That's the problem. There's an R+2, +3 bias in favor of R's that is not being reflected in the 538 analysis. If you assume that it ought to be symmetric, it's going to bias your results. Also, they should be running sims, but sims are only as good as the numbers they are giving them.

It is symmetric with a central value of 51/49 (R+0). You said that the 538 math was wrong, I showed that based on estimates that they weren't (the same sort of estimates you made). Now about how the polls are done... I am not part of that. Someone can claim to know more or less than 538. I claim to know less.

If you think that AZ, IN, FL, MO, NV, MT are true tossups (and ND is not lean R and IN is not lean D), then you are probably right that the center value is R+2. So instead of disparaging 538 math, why don't you say why you think that MT is a tossup? (And IN is not lean D)

JM