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It's close in total vote counts maybe but not in electoral votes and you're a bigger fool than even I took you for if you think Pennsylvania is in play. 538's model (which is just about the be all and end all of US presidential models) has ~90% chance of Obama taking Penn.
It's close in total vote counts maybe but not in electoral votes and you're a bigger fool than even I took you for if you think Pennsylvania is in play. 538's model (which is just about the be all and end all of US presidential models) has ~90% chance of Obama taking Penn.
I've been following those numbers - Obama's softened considerably. NC + FL to Romney gives him a chance to win an election I believed was unwinnable, now Romney just needs VA (doable), CO (doable), and Ohio, (definitely doable). Not really much to brag about, IMO, with VA going to Romney and CO to Obama and both being true tossups.
If Romney pulls ahead in the PV - he'll win the election. Simple as that.
Scouse Git (2)La Fayette Adam SmithSolomwi and Loinburger will not be forgotten.
"Remember the night we broke the windows in this old house? This is what I wished for..."
2015 APOLYTON FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPION!
I've been following those numbers - Obama's softened considerably. NC + FL to Romney gives him a chance to win an election I believed was unwinnable, now Romney just needs VA (doable), CO (doable), and Ohio, (definitely doable). Not really much to brag about, IMO, with VA going to Romney and CO to Obama and both being true tossups.
If Romney pulls ahead in the PV - he'll win the election. Simple as that.
Did you look at those statistics? If there is a tipping state it will be Ohio, and Obama has a 70% chance to win it.
I drank beer. I like beer. I still like beer. ... Do you like beer Senator?
- Justice Brett Kavanaugh
Did you look at those statistics? If there is a tipping state it will be Ohio, and Obama has a 70% chance to win it.
Did you see those numbers 2 weeks ago?
Scouse Git (2)La Fayette Adam SmithSolomwi and Loinburger will not be forgotten.
"Remember the night we broke the windows in this old house? This is what I wished for..."
2015 APOLYTON FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPION!
“I give you a new commandment, that you love one another. Just as I have loved you, you also should love one another. By this everyone will know that you are my disciples, if you have love for one another.”
- John 13:34-35 (NRSV)
You're bragging about those numbers? Dinner - this is bad news for Obama. I have 6 states (including PA), that have now fallen out of guaranteed status for Obama. This election's up for grabs.
HOLY ****, DID BEN REALLY JUST USE THE OLD "This is bad news for Obama"?
YOU ARE SO ****ED BEN
"I hope I get to punch you in the face one day" - MRT144, Imran Siddiqui
'I'm fairly certain that a ban on me punching you in the face is not a "right" worth respecting." - loinburger
I'm willing to bet at even odds that Romney will exceed Nate Silver's popular vote or electoral vote forecast.
"You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran
“As a lifelong member of the Columbia Business School community, I adhere to the principles of truth, integrity, and respect. I will not lie, cheat, steal, or tolerate those who do.”
"Capitalism ho!"
DID BEN REALLY JUST USE THE OLD "This is bad news for Obama"?
YOU ARE SO ****ED BEN
Bring it on. I'm not going to bet in favor of Romney winning, though.
Scouse Git (2)La Fayette Adam SmithSolomwi and Loinburger will not be forgotten.
"Remember the night we broke the windows in this old house? This is what I wished for..."
2015 APOLYTON FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPION!
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