Ron Paul takes the lead in Iowa.

[Zevico]

Unbelievable!

[HalfLotus]

If Romney does become the nominee, how will you rationalize your error in order to maintain your conspiracy thinking?

How about a wager?

If I'm wrong about Romney, I'll renounce my conspiratorial views and never post a conspiratorial thought again.

But if I'm right, you'll change your signature to "I <3 Alex Jones 4ever."

Up for it?

[BeBMan]

So why is it that Paul didn't win? And why do they play Tetris on a large screen on CNN all the time when the GOP caucus thing was making news earlier???

[Lorizael]

How about a wager?

If I'm wrong about Romney, I'll renounce my conspiratorial views and never post a conspiratorial thought again.

But if I'm right, you'll change your signature to "I <3 Alex Jones 4ever."

Up for it?

So to be clear, if Willard Mitt Romney is named the Republican candidate for President of the United States of America at the 2012 Republican National Convention, you will start a thread in which you renounce your belief that:

The GOP is supposed to lose to Obama, but they need to do it with a weak "conservative" (Perry or Gingrich, preferably for them) so the US political establishment can continue it's "kooky", "out of the mainstream" narrative against the right, and eventually solidify the US as a fabian liberal/socialist country prior to pushing us into a North American Union, and eventually bankrupting us and making us a client state of China.

And if Willard Mitt Romney is not named the Republican candidate for President of the United States of America at the 2012 Republican National Convention, I will change my signature to "I <3 Alex Jones 4ever."

How long do I have to keep the signature?

[Lorizael]

This seems kind of silly of you, honestly. The odds are heavily in my favor, yet all I'm being asked to do is wear a mildly embarrassing signature. The odds are against you, yet you're apparently willing to change your entire worldview if a single prediction that seems only tenuously related to that worldview does not bear out? Ooookay.

[Dinner]

So why is it that Paul didn't win? And why do they play Tetris on a large screen on CNN all the time when the GOP caucus thing was making news earlier???

I liked CNN's explanation of how caucuses work using animated weebles. Nothing says intelligent electoral system like using children's toys to explain it.

[HalfLotus]

So to be clear, if Willard Mitt Romney is named the Republican candidate for President of the United States of America at the 2012 Republican National Convention, you will start a thread in which you renounce your belief that:

The GOP is supposed to lose to Obama, but they need to do it with a weak "conservative" (Perry or Gingrich, preferably for them) so the US political establishment can continue it's "kooky", "out of the mainstream" narrative against the right, and eventually solidify the US as a fabian liberal/socialist country prior to pushing us into a North American Union, and eventually bankrupting us and making us a client state of China.

And if Willard Mitt Romney is not named the Republican candidate for President of the United States of America at the 2012 Republican National Convention, I will change my signature to "I <3 Alex Jones 4ever."

How long do I have to keep the signature?

I propose 1 year.

[Zevico]

Romney's a possibility. He hasn't won. It's been said that Romneycare is a political liability; yet Gingrich appears to have expressed his support for such a similar policy in the past. What do voters see in Gingrich they don't see in Romney? Then again Gingrich is losing in the polls again for this reason no do doubt, as everyone went negative on him.

Santorum, Perry and Bachmann each jockeyed for a position as both religious and fiscal 'conservatives.' (Is conservatism an apt word to describe a desire to rein in, reform or repeal Acts of Congress that are over 8 decades old, e.g. New Deal? Or a now 4 decade old status quo in Roe v Wade?)

Santorum won out in this round. He seems to be the one that made the fewest apparent political mistakes rather than the most "inspiring." A relative unknown on the national field, as well.

Paul won 20% of the vote. This is probably as popular as he'll ever get in the GOP. Not a bad showing. Voters probably like his talk on debt, but very few buy into Trutherism. Some of the younger GOP crowd are Truther or equivalent imports. I suspect that they weren't long part of the conservative base per se.

The fact that Romney's been at 20-25% for ages now suggests that he won't rise any higher anytime soon. I think it's fair to say that GOP voters have made their minds up about Romney. For the most of the non-Paulites I think he's the candidate of last resort. If the others implode they'll back him. Mostly. And that 'mostly' might be a danger in the general election.

I haven't read altogether much of the left-wing American press, so it's hard for me to gauge how much support for Obama there may be among the left-wing base. Certainly the right-left divide appears only to increase with time.

Independents are displeased with the state of the economy and all else being equal would likely give the Republican candidate the benefit of the doubt on that score. It's too early to say if that means a Republican win.

[Zevico]

I propose 1 year.

[loinburger]

But if I'm right, you'll change your signature to "I <3 Alex Jones 4ever."

Alex Jones? You've got to be ****ting me.

[Lorizael]

I propose 1 year.

Sure, why not. It's a deal.

[Lorizael]

Btw, do "conspiratorial thoughts" include your belief that the Fed and the Club of Rome get togther to eat aborted fetuses on the 7th Monday of every month?

[Dinner]

Romney's a possibility. He hasn't won. It's been said that Romneycare is a political liability; yet Gingrich appears to have expressed his support for such a similar policy in the past. What do voters see in Gingrich they don't see in Romney?

Romney has this thing locked up and Gingrich is just as big a douche bag as any of the others if not more so. His main selling points are he's not Mormon and he's not Romney but other then that he's just another slimy politician who will say or do anything. Honestly Obama isn't much better.

[Felch]

I've been there, but I didn't see him.

[Zevico]

Moses bearing the second amendment? How is the right to keep and bear arms a biblical commandment?