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Down with the evil Gas lords. (yes, i am brave enough to post another from myspace)
“I give you a new commandment, that you love one another. Just as I have loved you, you also should love one another. By this everyone will know that you are my disciples, if you have love for one another.”
- John 13:34-35 (NRSV)
If its a conspiracy you want, I would be looking at the refinery level, not at a global market for a fungible commodity.
Having done antitrust work in a former life, I can tell you that the market would be much more subject ot manipulation at the refinery level because:
1. Market is probably regional (US or North America) instead of global.
2. Refinery capacity is fixed instead of more elastic global supply.
3. There are substantial delays and costs to new refinery construction.
As the graph shows, refinery utilization has dropped in the last few months. Reduction in supply could raise the prices received by refiners that still operate.
Is the reduction in utilization due to lingering effects of Hurricane Katrina? Maybe. Conspiracy? Maybe. Capacity taken off line to get into compliance with provisions of Clean Air Act? Maybe.
A few more facts that would be useful to know:
Who's refineries are down?
Why?
For how long relative to similar prior situations?
How much oil products (gasoline, kerosene, jet fuel, heavy oils) are imported relative to refined domestically?
Who owns the import terminals?
What is their capacity and utilization?
The capacity utilization graph at least helps a refining story pass the sniff test.
Some of us are naive enough that competition between oil companies should keep prices down. I guess this proves the free market doesn't work....not when all oil companies feel justified in gouging consumers across the board.
This conversation is pretty scattershot, but a point that needs to be recognized is that Exxon-Mobil and the other majors participate in projects in a multitude of different ways in both OPEC and non-OPEC countries. Exxon-Mobil could be participating heavily in various parts of the Saudi business, for instance. How much that translates into influence, I'm not sure.
I came upon a barroom full of bad Salon pictures in which men with hats on the backs of their heads were wolfing food from a counter. It was the institution of the "free lunch" I had struck. You paid for a drink and got as much as you wanted to eat. For something less than a rupee a day a man can feed himself sumptuously in San Francisco, even though he be a bankrupt. Remember this if ever you are stranded in these parts. ~ Rudyard Kipling, 1891
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