Estimated casualties of a war on Iraq: 1 million people!

[loinburger]

The casualties from the first war were 1/10 that estimate. How'd the estimate jump so high? Are they assuming that the US is going to nuke them or something?

[Edan]

Originally posted by Sonic
How many people killed Israel (Palestinians)?

Over the past 55 years, and numerous wars, Israelis have killed an estimated 50-100k arabs (that includes Syrians, Egyptians, Lebenese, Jodanians, Iraqi's, Saudis, etc)

Over the past 2.5 year, they have killed about 1.5 thousand Palestinians (not counting Palestinian suicide bombers that have killed themselves, Palestinian victims of Palestinian terror attacks and Palestinians killed by other Palestinians because they were considered "traitors"). Of that 1.5, a majority that have been killed have been gunman and terrorists - and I have no regreats for their deaths. Of the remaining, there have been about, IIRC, something like eight or nine hundred civilian deaths. Considering the Palestinians have killed nearly that many civilians, and Israel has a very modern military while the Palestinians have terror groups, I think I can say that the Palestinians are trying harder to kill Israelis than the Israelis are trying to kill Palestinians. Especially since Israel could easily kill hundreds of thousands or millions of Palestinians in well under the past 2.5 years (as could any modern military).

And wars doesn't counts here.

OK. Then Israel, at an extreme upperbound, I would say that Israel has killed less then 10,000 Palestinians, over the past 55 years (and that number seems extremely excessive). Of course, I would consider the latest violence a war, which would bring that number down.

[JCG]

It won't be a cheap war, but 1 million is a huge stretch....

[Edan]

[SlowwHand]

Re: Estimated casualties of a war on Iraq: 1 million people!

Originally posted by paiktis22
Just for oil...


Since there seems to be no way to stop it, I at least hope that the US/UK will do it without a UN mandate.

I'm amazed at the UK I have to say.
Most Brits don't want to, yet they let their government do as it pleases. It is confusing.

And from the Brits here, it is clear that they do not share the American "mind". Yet their government acts like it is a willfull errant boy of the US.

Why?

Let us at least hope that there will be no UN mandate.

Interests aside, 1 million of people will die from US/UK bombs and whatever "interests" speak against a war, I hope they will be heard and prevail, even though I do not see it happening

At least war on Iraq WITHOUT a UN mandate

I Hope France and Germany will hold strong and continue to make Europe proud.

You make many points. None of which are accurate.

[raghar]

Originally posted by loinburger
The casualties from the first war were 1/10 that estimate. How'd the estimate jump so high? Are they assuming that the US is going to nuke them or something?

500 Tomahawks, few years of occupation, city fighting, famine, It could be well more than so called 1 mill. It could be 2.5 mill, or it could be 350 000. It depends what do you count. What about 1/10 population more or less directly dead?

[loinburger]

The US is not in occupation mode. Witness Afghanistan.

It is also not in "ground-fighting extraordinaire" mode, it's in "bomb the **** out of them" mode. Witness nearly every military action by the US in the past ten-odd years.

I don't see how the casualties can jump that high short of nukes, given the current military mindset in action.

[Sonic]

Edan, at about 70s Israel killed 26 Palestinians for each Israeli casualty, excluding suicide bombers. In 2001, the number came to 3 Palestinians per 1 Jew. Now the number of killed Palestinians for one Jew increased again by much. Thus it is completely innacurate to say that Jews killed as many Palestinians as Palestinians killed Jews. BTW, this count is not counting many "unofficial" Palestinian deaths, beatings by settlers, deaths because of lack of food/water, unauthorised force, etc.

[Imran Siddiqui]

Just for oil?



You understand nothing about this war. If anything, it is decidedly NOT about oil at all.

[Sonic]

Imran Siddiqui, understand the difference between "official politics" and "official causes" and the realpolitik. Facts are - US oil is gonna to deplete soon and so is oil in other states supporting USA. In 2050, only Saudi Arabia and Iraq will have oil, but Arabs will gain full control of the market much sooner actually. Thus USA needs to ensure it is not going to be left without this resource. This is the main cause of war. There are much worse dictators than Saddam all over the world. Kim Yong Il could be a good example, but there are much more. Just most of these dictatorships doesn't has oil thus they doesn't interests USA.

[Imran Siddiqui]

That's bull****. I know about realpolitik and it isn't working here. This war is all about getting Saddam, this person that is trying to stick his middle finger at the US, out. It has very, very little to do with oil.

HUGE oil deposits are being discovered in Russia (Siberia) and under the Caspian. The US may not need anymore Arab oil. Of course the US does not use much oil from the Mid East (most from the Americas).

[Edan]

Originally posted by Sonic
Edan, at about 70s Israel killed 26 Palestinians for each Israeli casualty, excluding suicide bombers.

Where are you getting these statistics from? And what are your totals, anyway? I assume they're greater than the 1 million of Saddams.

[DinoDoc]

If we are going to fight an oil war as people here keep saying, why are US troops in the Middle East and not heading to Venezuela?

[Edan]

Originally posted by DinoDoc
If we are going to fight an oil war as people here keep saying, why are US troops in the Middle East and not heading to Venezuela?

Because Kuwait and Saudi Arabia are even easier to conquer?

[DinoDoc]

Originally posted by Edan
Because Kuwait and Saudi Arabia are even easier to conquer?

But with Venezuela, we don't have to bother with the pretense of going to the UN. Being the sole power in the region means that we can go for a straight war of conquest and set up our own puppet government straight away.