I don't have the energy to think but quickly going through options it must be 3 or 4.. I'd go for 4.
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More than that.(\__/) 07/07/1937 - Never forget
(='.'=) "Claims demand evidence; extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence." -- Carl Sagan
(")_(") "Starting the fire from within."
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Balls are not replaced: twice
Balls are replaced:
There are 5 configurations (I use letters instead of colours, it's the same) -
ABCD (original, config 0)
AACD (config 1)
AAAC (config 2)
AACC (config 3)
AAAA (config 4, goal)
config 0 -> config 1 : 1 turn
config 1: 1/2 chance remaining config 1, 1/3 chance becoming config 2, 1/6 chance becoming config 3
config 2: 1/2 chance no change, 1/3 chance becoming config 4 (done), 1/6 chance becoming config 3
config 3: 1/3 chance no change, 2/3 chance becoming config 2
Then I forgot how to convert this into expectationsLast edited by Urban Ranger; October 29, 2002, 00:25.(\__/) 07/07/1937 - Never forget
(='.'=) "Claims demand evidence; extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence." -- Carl Sagan
(")_(") "Starting the fire from within."
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That's true.(\__/) 07/07/1937 - Never forget
(='.'=) "Claims demand evidence; extraordinary claims demand extraordinary evidence." -- Carl Sagan
(")_(") "Starting the fire from within."
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Originally posted by Zero-Tau
All rooms with square numbers have their lights flicked on. Their prime factorization would be a1^e1*a2^e2*a3^e3... with all exponents being even. Using the formula for the number of divisors (e1+1)(e2+1)(e3+1)... we see that the square numbers have an odd number of divisors, meaning that they'll end up with the lights on. Conversely, if the number of divisors is odd, then each of e1+1, e2+1, e3+1,... would be odd, meaning that all the exponents would be even, making the number a square.
My way seems a lot simpler to me. (My explanation is a bit more wordy than my actual reasoning is complicated, trust me.)"God is dead." - Nietzsche
"Nietzsche is dead." - God
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Originally posted by Urban Ranger
Balls are not replaced: twice
Balls are replaced:
There are 5 configurations (I use letters instead of colours, it's the same) -
ABCD (original, config 0)
AACD (config 1)
AAAC (config 2)
AACC (config 3)
AAAA (config 4, goal)
config 0 -> config 1 : 1 turn
config 1: 1/2 chance remaining config 1, 1/3 chance becoming config 2, 1/6 chance becoming config 3
config 2: 1/2 chance no change, 1/3 chance becoming config 4 (done), 1/6 chance becoming config 3
config 3: 1/3 chance no change, 2/3 chance becoming config 2
Then I forgot how to convert this into expectations
Assuming that's correct...
The expected number of turns to get to config 4 from config 0, 1, 2, or 3 is 1 plus, for each possible next state, its probability of coming next times the expected number of turns to get to config 4 from that new state. Representing the expected number of turns to get to config 4 from config x by cx, we get
c0 = 1 + c1
c1 = 1 + (1/2)c1 + (1/3)c2 + (1/6)c3
c2 = 1 + (1/2)c2 + (1/4)c3 + (1/4)c4
c3 = 1 + (2/3)c2 + (1/3)c3
c4 = 0
After a lot of algebra, we can conclude that c0 = 9, c1 = 8, c2 = 5.5, c3 = 7, and of course c4 = 0.
So the expected number of turns after the first draw is 8."God is dead." - Nietzsche
"Nietzsche is dead." - God
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OK, most of you should find this one fairly easy:
Three missionaries and three canibals are traveling together and come to a river. None of them can swim, but luckily, there is a boat tied to their side. It can only hold two people. For obvious reasons, the missionaries would prefer that no group of canibals ever outnumber a group of missionaries (where a group can be one, but not zero) at any one place. Figure out a way that they can maintain that condition and get everybody across the river.
If that's too easy for you, you might want to try the more general case of x missionaries and x canibals (I don't actually know whether that can be solved or not)."God is dead." - Nietzsche
"Nietzsche is dead." - God
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1 C and 1 M go over
1 C goes back
2 C go over (1 stays in boat)
1 M and 1 C go back
2 M go over
1 M goes back
1 M and 1 C go over
"You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran
Eschewing silly games since December 4, 2005
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Originally posted by JohnM2433
So the expected number of turns after the first draw is 8.
I'm glad you got the same answer as I did, because I had to work it out myself too. It would have been embarrasing if my calculated answer was wrong.One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.
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What do these words have in common:
Calmness
Canopy
Deft
First
Hijack
Laughing
Stupid"You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran
Eschewing silly games since December 4, 2005
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rowr, new avatar!"You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran
Eschewing silly games since December 4, 2005
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I've got one, that I'm now kicking myself over. It is deceptively simple.
There are nine jars, each containing a different type of liquid, but the labels have all fallen off. Knowing nothing about the contents, a passerby reapplies the labels at random. What is the expected number of correctly labeled jars?One day Canada will rule the world, and then we'll all be sorry.
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