Originally posted by Jon Miller
You don't understand. For the nation as a whole the vote was within the uncertainty in the vote. I think I would suggest that you do some reading on statistics and uncertainty (this is different than a gambling course, what I am talking about is completely different, it has to do with measurements).
You don't understand. For the nation as a whole the vote was within the uncertainty in the vote. I think I would suggest that you do some reading on statistics and uncertainty (this is different than a gambling course, what I am talking about is completely different, it has to do with measurements).
Gambling has EVERYTHING to do with it. All statistical analysis is based on odds. The runs of dice can be shown be within the statisticaly probable range and even to what degree or it can be used to see if loaded dice are in use. Its how casinos spot a cheating dealer or an off balance roulette wheel. Indeed two scientists from JPL once took the Cuban casinos to the cleaners via a statistical analysis of the roulete wheels there. That was when the casinos learned they needed to be more carefull with the balance on their wheels.
I remember seeing one of the guys on TV for something JPL was doing in the 70's but I can't remember his name or the specific mission where this was mentioned as he was the JPL spokesman on several missions.
BTW, I do not recall the actual uncertainty in that election (The election was almost 2 years ago), but I do remember that all estimates that I had heard (And any reasonable estimate) showed the issues that I stated (and I think that the level of uncertaintty was underestimated as shown in Florida).
You seem to be missing many of the basics of error analysis, if it matters to you, I would reccomend some study.
Jon Miller
Jon Miller
Do you now understand the idea that I can understand uncertaintity without feeling that it should be considered in the election results? Bush won, period, based on the Electoral College, yet he did not get a plurality on actual counted votes, the only kind that matter. That they there is a degree of uncertaintity has nothing to do with the actual tabulated votes.
The Electoral College is a travesty and should go. Bush remains in the perfect postition to banish that monstrosity. He hasn't made the slightest effort.
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