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  • #46
    Shi--

    I don't think the Repubs will really try to push an Amendment in an election year. Polls might say that most people are against gay marriage, but they also show that most people really don't give a **** when pushed on the subject, and a consititutional amendment will probably be seen as too extreme.

    I'm not saying the amendment wouldn't get passed--there's a pretty good chance it would. But I think it would lead to a big Dem win in November, and the Repubs aren't willing to take that chance.
    "My nation is the world, and my religion is to do good." --Thomas Paine
    "The subject of onanism is inexhaustable." --Sigmund Freud

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    • #47
      Shi,

      Attitudes towards Gays are changing rather quickly. It would be a race to see whether hard liners opposed to gay unions would be able to ram an ammendment home before the tide swings the other way.

      I recon there would be a major PR push (in these days of media) that would swing a lot of folks.
      "Just puttin on the foil" - Jeff Hanson

      “In a democracy, I realize you don’t need to talk to the top leader to know how the country feels. When I go to a dictatorship, I only have to talk to one person and that’s the dictator, because he speaks for all the people.” - Jimmy Carter

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      • #48
        Originally posted by Guynemer
        Shi--

        I don't think the Repubs will really try to push an Amendment in an election year. Polls might say that most people are against gay marriage, but they also show that most people really don't give a **** when pushed on the subject, and a consititutional amendment will probably be seen as too extreme.

        I'm not saying the amendment wouldn't get passed--there's a pretty good chance it would. But I think it would lead to a big Dem win in November, and the Repubs aren't willing to take that chance.
        I think they will try to push such an amendment now. It's true if this issue were emerging from the Right and it looked like pre-emptive action against gays it might not be popular, but as this issue has arisen from the left and it appears to be nessecary to prevent gay marriage from becoming the law of the land nationwide, it will most likely be very popular, and IIRC polls did indicate support for such an amendment.

        This give Democrats the option of either making a stand for their principles and angering swing voters, or selling out their base once again and going forward with approving such an amendment. My bet based on typical Democratic tendencies are on the latter: the base is pissed off enough at Bush that they will believe that they will still support come November, so they will go for the option less likely to anger large amounts of moderates.
        "I'm moving to the Left" - Lancer

        "I imagine the neighbors on your right are estatic." - Slowwhand

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        • #49
          Attitudes towards Gays are changing rather quickly
          Yes, but not in a direction you'd be comfortable with. After Lawrence V. Texas, opposition towards gay marriage, civil unions went up, as did support for anti-gay marriage amendment. If that is the trend opposition to gay rights may climb even higher after this ruling.
          "I'm moving to the Left" - Lancer

          "I imagine the neighbors on your right are estatic." - Slowwhand

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          • #50
            Originally posted by Shi Huangdi


            Yes, but not in a direction you'd be comfortable with. After Lawrence V. Texas, opposition towards gay marriage, civil unions went up, as did support for anti-gay marriage amendment. If that is the trend opposition to gay rights may climb even higher after this ruling.
            Shi,

            I personally don't give a rat heiney one way or the other. Live let live that kinna thing. If we're talking an ammendment the longer it takes the longer attitudes will soften as it becomes more and more indoctrinated into mainstream culture via TV media and other outlets.
            "Just puttin on the foil" - Jeff Hanson

            “In a democracy, I realize you don’t need to talk to the top leader to know how the country feels. When I go to a dictatorship, I only have to talk to one person and that’s the dictator, because he speaks for all the people.” - Jimmy Carter

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            • #51
              Originally posted by chegitz guevara
              DOMA is unconstitutional. It's just that no one has any standing to challenge it yet. First you have to have a married gay couple.

              People were against Blacks and whites marrying, but eventually they were forced to accept it. They'll accept this too, especially once a major church accepts it (I'm looking at the Episcopalians).
              A lot of Republicans are not racist, but a lot of racists are Republican.

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              • #52
                IMHO more people are wary of a possible amendment than legal gay marriage.
                I'm consitently stupid- Japher
                I think that opinion in the United States is decidedly different from the rest of the world because we have a free press -- by free, I mean a virgorously presented right wing point of view on the air and available to all.- Ned

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                • #53
                  Originally posted by Guynemer
                  Can I get some love, mindseye?

                  ...er... you know what I mean.
                  SMACK!

                  (Slips cigar band over Guynemer's ring finger.)
                  Official Homepage of the HiRes Graphics Patch for Civ2

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                  • #54
                    Originally posted by Shi Huangdi

                    I also predict that this will eventually become in the long run the greatest disaster for gay civil rights.
                    Yeah, just like Loving v. Virgina was the death-blow to inter-racial marriage!
                    Official Homepage of the HiRes Graphics Patch for Civ2

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                    • #55
                      I'm not heedless to BD's warnings. He very well could be right. In fact, I think it's going to be a very close battle. But I think we can win. After all, we just need to stop thirteen states from passing such an amendment. But remember, 37 states (IIRC) have laws saying marriage is between a man and a woman. Don't dismiess BD so carelessly.
                      Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

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                      • #56
                        Originally posted by DataAeolus


                        . While true New England states (sorry, I don't consider Connecticut and Rhodes Island part of this club) are rich in history, generally the population is young especially in Massachusetts. Boston at the first appear to be conversative but it's actually a liberal city.
                        No way, man. I see what you mean about CT, but RI is like Massachusetts-South, they just pronounce some things weird and have weird words for things (like they put gravy on pasta, not sauce). But still, most people outside of New England wouldn't be able to tell the difference between someone from Providence and someone from Boston.

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                        • #57
                          Originally posted by JimmyCracksCorn

                          No way, man. I see what you mean about CT, but RI is like Massachusetts-South, they just pronounce some things weird and have weird words for things (like they put gravy on pasta, not sauce).
                          My Italian grandfather aways said gravy.
                          Christianity: The belief that a cosmic Jewish Zombie who was his own father can make you live forever if you symbolically eat his flesh and telepathically tell him you accept him as your master, so he can remove an evil force from your soul that is present in humanity because a rib-woman was convinced by a talking snake to eat from a magical tree...

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                          • #58
                            Originally posted by Flubber


                            ya because thats exactly the same
                            I'm insulted. You really think I'd be bigoted enough to make such a post and not be joking about it?

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                            • #59
                              Originally posted by JimmyCracksCorn


                              No way, man. I see what you mean about CT, but RI is like Massachusetts-South, they just pronounce some things weird and have weird words for things (like they put gravy on pasta, not sauce). But still, most people outside of New England wouldn't be able to tell the difference between someone from Providence and someone from Boston.
                              Ayuh, how truah
                              Who is Barinthus?

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                              • #60
                                hmm

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