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Good Gawd! -- FY '03 Deficit of $450 Billion

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  • #76
    What questions? Oh you mean this crap:

    1. Did you believe the high growth rates that the USSR used to post?
    2. Do you believe the rates that China is currently posting?
    They both lie about their performance.
    For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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    • #77
      Originally posted by Fez
      What questions? Oh you mean this crap:



      They both lie about their performance.
      So why should the US not 'lie' about theirs?

      By lie I mean use a different definition that flatters their figures.

      All the evidence is that the growth of european nations is understated, relative to the US, by around 0.5% a year - couple this with the fact that the US population is growing by around 1% a year faster and the US needs to grow 1.5% a year faster than european economies simply to keep their relative incomes the same

      If you fail to see that this is a possibility then you are guilty of only looking at data that flatters your political view (the evil commies do it but capitalist US wouldn't)
      19th Century Liberal, 21st Century European

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      • #78
        One reason: I believe the US more than I believe the bureaucratic BSers in Bejing and Moscow.
        For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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        • #79
          That's a fair point, but it's only a matter of degree.

          The same method by which I estimated that EU growth was understated by 0.5% a year relative to the US suggests that China's growth is overestimated by 2.7% a year - as you can see the difference here is one of degree.

          How can you not see the problem with comparing the growth rates of countries using a hedonic deflator with those that don't when the change in the US added 0.5% a year to the reported growth rates?

          It also shows that you 'believe' whereas I 'check'
          19th Century Liberal, 21st Century European

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          • #80
            Gosh... you are more stubborn than my boyfriend was. But at least he was honest.
            For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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            • #81
              Throw around all the insults you like Fez, it's you who have been shown to believe only the data you want to.

              Using insults just shows that your debating skill is even feebler than I thought, which means it's actually negative - in other words to gain credibility in an argument I should try to get you to disagree with me
              19th Century Liberal, 21st Century European

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              • #82
                Well sometimes the act of being stubborn isn't bad... I kinda like it... feebler? I mean what kind of basis do you have to speak with? Who made you such a genus? I am using the cold hard facts from The Economist magazine, take it or leave it. The US economy performed better than France or Germany. That is a fact.
                For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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                • #83
                  The data you talk about are not cold hard facts - it is processed data.
                  I have shown you why this can be misleading.
                  Have you studied the relative incomes of countries for decades?
                  Have you tracked back growth rates and seen that they don't compare with what was known at the time?
                  Why do you not treat these statistics with the same skepticism you would those that go against your political beliefs?

                  If you track back incomes using the new US GDP figures then in 1929 the UK had an average income 10% higher than the US - this was at a time when it was acknowledged that the US had the 'highest standard of living in the world'.

                  As to why I am a genius (IQ=157), it's probably a mixture of genetics and upbringing, I do know that I feel that intelligence is overated - but that's probably because I have it (like people with money or love don't think it's as important as those without it)

                  You are asking me to trust your data - I am not asking you to trust mine, I'm asking you to go and check it yourself.


                  The only simple fact here is that you will swallow any data that supports your worldview without questioning it - I warn you, that trait makes you vunerable to unscrupulous people that you will surely meet in your life, it would be wise to learn to change it.
                  19th Century Liberal, 21st Century European

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                  • #84
                    Regurgitation.

                    Are you a computer or robot?

                    I guess you think I am an idiot.

                    Well read my lips, you will not change my opinion on anything as you are nothing but a tyrannical person who appears condescending in the least.

                    You come off no more than an absolute fool in this regard when it comes to economics. And you make up an IQ score to cover yourself.

                    Get out!
                    For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Originally posted by Fez
                      Regurgitation.
                      That's pretty rich coming from someone who has not done anything to support their point of view other than saying 'here is the data from my source, like it or lump it'


                      Originally posted by Fez
                      Are you a computer or robot?
                      Insults are the last refuge of someone who has no argument.


                      Originally posted by Fez
                      I guess you think I am an idiot.
                      It's hard to ignore the evidence you keep providing to support this hypothesis.
                      Although I cling to the hope that you are either merely misguided or that you want to argue for argument sake.


                      Originally posted by Fez
                      Well read my lips, you will not change my opinion on anything as you are nothing but a tyrannical person who appears condescending in the least.
                      More insults, see above.
                      The reason I come across as condescending is that you come accross as someone who is unwilling to face facts that you don't want to.


                      Originally posted by Fez
                      You come off no more than an absolute fool in this regard when it comes to economics. And you make up an IQ score to cover yourself.

                      Get out!
                      let's let others decide who has made themselves a fool (they are the best ones to judge) - I fear nothing from them (except perhaps that I give in too much to Fez baiting, it is a character flaw of mine).
                      Why should I want to make up an IQ score?
                      Do you think I'm bragging or something?
                      I already said I don't think much of IQ scores - intelligence is not connected to that much rarer commodity, wisdom.
                      Why are you telling me to get out?
                      What relevance has that to our discussion?
                      19th Century Liberal, 21st Century European

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                      • #86
                        Originally posted by Fez
                        I guess you think I am an idiot.
                        Originally posted by el freako
                        It's hard to ignore the evidence you keep providing to support this hypothesis.

                        The enemy cannot push a button if you disable his hand.

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                        • #87
                          Glad to see someone else is enjoying this
                          19th Century Liberal, 21st Century European

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                          • #88
                            Pshaw! If you think you can make a mockery of me think again! You proclaim I have no argument. But you are the one without an argument. You are a leftist. Leftists never make any points.
                            For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

                            Comment


                            • #89
                              Some information from the CIA factbook:

                              Germany:

                              Germany's affluent and technologically powerful economy turned in a relatively weak performance throughout much of the 1990s. The modernization and integration of the eastern German economy continues to be a costly long-term problem, with annual transfers from west to east amounting to roughly $70 billion. Germany's ageing population, combined with high unemployment, has pushed social security outlays to a level exceeding contributions from workers. Structural rigidities in the labor market - including strict regulations on laying off workers and the setting of wages on a national basis - have made unemployment a chronic problem. Business and income tax cuts introduced in 2001 did not spare Germany from the impact of the downturn in international trade, and domestic demand faltered as unemployment began to rise. Growth in 2002 again fell short of 1%. Corporate restructuring and growing capital markets are setting the foundations that could allow Germany to meet the long-term challenges of European economic integration and globalization, particularly if labor market rigidities are addressed. In the short run, however, the fall in government revenues and the rise in expenditures has brought the deficit close to the EU's 3% debt limit.

                              ****

                              This proves my point entirely.
                              For there is [another] kind of violence, slower but just as deadly, destructive as the shot or the bomb in the night. This is the violence of institutions -- indifference, inaction, and decay. This is the violence that afflicts the poor, that poisons relations between men because their skin has different colors. - Bobby Kennedy (Mindless Menance of Violence)

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                              • #90
                                Don't trust any other in CIA which may be in any chance subjective, eg., trust only statistics there. The job of CIA officials is to lie.

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