I think a settler+archer in a boat has a high chance of success in terms of Imperio not blocking it, but it will still be a lot of work building the boat and units, and then shuttling over workers. The resources are probably better spent on military units at home helping us settle our last border city more quickly. As such, I also favor barracks in China Beach.
EDIT: I also suspect PAL will kill any settlement we build on "their" island.
EDIT: I also suspect PAL will kill any settlement we build on "their" island.
) I just don't think they are likely to take a trade that puts them at a disadvantage in beakers.
Thanks. 

OK, major danger signs here. Imperio now has Construction for cats, plus they are still getting ivory from PAL in exchange for one of their gold resources. I also have to mention, for what it's worth, that Imperio has increased their Espionage point spending against us in the last two turns. *sigh* Why does this feel like one of the games where all of the AI civs gang up on you?
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