I have a hard time believing that Friaxis would create a brand new feature, that is 1 of the 2 "killer features" Soren is so fond of, and not tinker with the AI enough to make it reasonably likely to happen.
I would expect that the AI would be willing to accept Capitulation when things are worse off than a situation where they would offer Peace with Techs or cities. Just as they are more often to surrender techs and cities when things are worse off than when they would just offer straight peace. Or how they would offer straight peace when things are worse off than when they would only accept you giving them techs or cities in return for peace.
I would expect that the AI would be willing to accept Capitulation when things are worse off than a situation where they would offer Peace with Techs or cities. Just as they are more often to surrender techs and cities when things are worse off than when they would just offer straight peace. Or how they would offer straight peace when things are worse off than when they would only accept you giving them techs or cities in return for peace.
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