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Originally posted by -Jrabbit View PostThanks. Nice to see that all teams with winning records are in.
I knew that Jaguar was dominant, but over 15% better than the next-best offense? ZOMFG that's a huge scoring differential!
Well done, Jag."You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran
Eschewing silly games since December 4, 2005
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It will be on DirecTV as well iirc.Apolyton's Grim Reaper 2008, 2010 & 2011
RIP lest we forget... SG (2) and LaFayette -- Civ2 Succession Games Brothers-in-Arms
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Hey, MRT, my unluckiness in my league continues into the playoffs. The $2000+ pot won't be mine
While one of the playoff teams (Aaron Rodgers-owner) scored 21 points (wow), I was matched up against the guy who leads the week in scoring who has Anquan Boldin against the Texans still to go.
Sigh... I can't believe I've been matched up against the week's best team 5 times in 14 weeks
How statistically likely is that in a 10 team league? You figure any given week, there's only a 10% chance you'd play against the highest-scoring team, right? How would I represent 5 out of 14 at 10% any given week to get a probability for this happening?"Flutie was better than Kelly, Elway, Esiason and Cunningham." - Ben Kenobi
"I have nothing against Wilson, but he's nowhere near the same calibre of QB as Flutie. Flutie threw for 5k+ yards in the CFL." -Ben Kenobi
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution is the relevant source of knowledge for you."You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran
Eschewing silly games since December 4, 2005
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Originally posted by Jaguar View Posthttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Binomial_distribution is the relevant source of knowledge for you.
I'm getting a cumulative probability of 0.0092 for >=5.
So if anyone wants to know what's the probability of playing the week's top scorer at least 5 out of 14 weeks in a 10-team league, it's 9/10ths of 1 percent
Wow. What did I do to offend the fantasy football gods?!
That's it. Next year, I'm sacrificing a pig and burning Mike Shanahan in effigy!"Flutie was better than Kelly, Elway, Esiason and Cunningham." - Ben Kenobi
"I have nothing against Wilson, but he's nowhere near the same calibre of QB as Flutie. Flutie threw for 5k+ yards in the CFL." -Ben Kenobi
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That's the right number given your assumptions.
Since the 14th week was a playoff week, and it probably matched you up against an unusually good team, it's a little bit more likely than that. Other factors (such as your team being above-average) could make it less likely than that. The quality of your matchups isn't entirely random or linearly independent, so the 0.9% chance is only a ballpark estimate, not exact.
In any event, it seems like you have probably been royally screwed. If you want a reverse example, see EPW's team going 9-4 despite being 11th in scoring."You're the biggest user of hindsight that I've ever known. Your favorite team, in any sport, is the one that just won. If you were a woman, you'd likely be a slut." - Slowwhand, to Imran
Eschewing silly games since December 4, 2005
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nice work on the stats u guys
thats too badDrank... Your bad luck was worse than mine this week.
But I gotta say over all I've been really lucky this year. Got 5 teams all in the play offs and the 2 wins I needed this week to make it so I won because Rodgers went out early. And I had him on 1 team so I feel some of your pain.Last edited by Berzerker; December 13, 2010, 23:23.
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Guess what. Not only did I play against the highest scoring guy this week but I am the #2 scorerSecond time I've lost as the #2 scorer for the week.
Please, Andre Johnson... get another TD... and whoever is guarding Anquan Boldin, please continue doing a good job and forcing Flacco to look to Derrick Mason. I might still be able to win this."Flutie was better than Kelly, Elway, Esiason and Cunningham." - Ben Kenobi
"I have nothing against Wilson, but he's nowhere near the same calibre of QB as Flutie. Flutie threw for 5k+ yards in the CFL." -Ben Kenobi
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I would be in much better shape if I hadn't started Crabtree over Fitz or Marshall. Crabtree blanked while those two each got 7 points. I would have won had I started Torain over Charles but who would have ever done that.
If Andre Johnson can get a TD and 20 more yards while Boldin continues to do nothing, I can still win. Come on Texans! Pass to AJ!"Flutie was better than Kelly, Elway, Esiason and Cunningham." - Ben Kenobi
"I have nothing against Wilson, but he's nowhere near the same calibre of QB as Flutie. Flutie threw for 5k+ yards in the CFL." -Ben Kenobi
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Boldin is obliging by not doing anything... come on Schaub... you can't be passing to these guys like Jacoby Jones (dropped open pass in the endzone) or Kevin Walter (caught TD pass out of bounds)... trust in your man, Andre. A deep strike to him would be greatBut I'll take some shorter passes as long as you look his way in the endzone. Come on...
"Flutie was better than Kelly, Elway, Esiason and Cunningham." - Ben Kenobi
"I have nothing against Wilson, but he's nowhere near the same calibre of QB as Flutie. Flutie threw for 5k+ yards in the CFL." -Ben Kenobi
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