Apolyton Fantasy Football - Koy's League - Final Signup & Draft

[-Jrabbit]

No way was Romo coming around to you at #17, Sloww. Surely you knew that.

[snoopy369]

Romo going before pick 17 is rather silly, in my opinion... tbh Romo going at pick 17 would have been silly, but whatever

[-Jrabbit]

Silly or not, Romo has the buzz this year. Hell, Roethlisberger went at 18.

[snoopy369]

I think Peyton was the only QB to go at a logical spot in this draft ... even Brady I took earlier than I should have, in my opinion (I just had no other good option).

[SlowwHand]

Now, that's silly.

[Koyaanisqatsi]

Sloww has my next pick.

[-Jrabbit]

Originally posted by snoopy369
I think Peyton was the only QB to go at a logical spot in this draft ... even Brady I took earlier than I should have, in my opinion (I just had no other good option).

If you had no other good option, then that's the logical spot.

[snoopy369]

It's more that a few of the RBs probably should have gone there, but I am super-risk-averse with 1st round RBs, and so wasn't willing to take any of the risk-prone RBs, even if their risk-adjusted payoff was bigger than Brady's. I'm illogical, but I know I am, and admit it, so it's okay, right?

[SlowwHand]

You're a sick puppy.

[-Jrabbit]

Pretty funny, Snoop. You drafted Brady 6th. He's 7th in ADP across all major FF sites. Basically, you took him over Barber (6th in ADP). The first 5 picks were pretty standard (except for 2 of us passing on Peterson -- my own "illogical" choice). Not that big a leap.

Not many people would go to that length to explain the logic of why their action should be considered illogical.

[snoopy369]

Randy Moss has an ADP of like 11 or something, but I think that's moronic also

What's the ADP of Adam Vinatieri? At ESPN it's 136.0, or 11th-12th round in a 12 team draft (and he's the 5th kicker in the list). ADP tells you what the average person does ... I prefer to finish above average, myself.

Mind you, I don't particularly think my pick of Brady is wrong - just that I think he should be around 9 or so, not 6. My problem was, of course, identifying #6,7,8, which I wasn't comfortable doing ...

(And I'm not entirely sure about the APete pick, myself... he's a higher risk, higher reward player; if you'd taken Addai over him, I'd have cut you some slack. Westbrook, unfortunately, is similarly high risk/high reward, so unless you have some insider info, I'd generally say AP over him... but I had #6 and #7 this year, so not much choice there.)

[snoopy369]

Can we move to 8 or 12 hour BAPAYs, please?

[-Jrabbit]

I share your risk aversion with early picks, Snoop. APete is very sexy and could have a huge LJ/LT/Alexander in-their-prime type of season. His upside is enormous, but he will be wearing a target and has an injury history.

Westbrook has exceptional consistency over the past 2 years, and his arrow is still IMHO pointing up. His week-to-week stability is anything but high risk. You rarely get that sub-10pt week with him. Given reasonable health, he's a lock for 70-90 receptions among 350+ touches. He also ranks very high in % of offensive plays and red-zone looks/touches. And his numbers stay strong through QB changes. Why you consider him high risk, I don't know.

You like Addai, I like Westbrook. Interestingly, last year, I won this Poly league with Addai (picked 5th or 6th IIRC), and I won at FFZ with Westbrook (drafting 9th). To-may-toe, to-mah-toe.

Mind you, I don't particularly think my pick of Brady is wrong - just that I think he should be around 9 or so

So what you're really saying is that you wish there were more RBs without question marks. So say we all!

[SlowwHand]

12 hour should do it. Surely. 8 hour might tax some people who find it difficult to leave a list, but 12 I would think anyone could make.

[snoopy369]

Westbrook has a high injury risk, unfortunately. Both because he's highly involved with the offense, and because he has been injured a lot in his career (and is getting up in years).

Addai's highly safe because he's young enough to be a relatively safe injury risk, and he is on the Colts, who will score lots of points regardless of his personal performance. He's also relatively secure in his job.