Predicting the Ukrainian Offensive

[Dinner]

Link is bad.

[PLATO]

Went to the source...BBC. Could just be the Ukrainians offering misdirection or could be a sign of serious attrition in their forces. They had enough to launch a counteroffensive last summer...they should have been able to replenish enough for another one unless their losses are substantially higher than they are admitting. Or they could just be waiting for more western hardware to be able to do something more decisive. Hard to tell through the Fog....

[Geronimo]

Went to the source...BBC. Could just be the Ukrainians offering misdirection or could be a sign of serious attrition in their forces. They had enough to launch a counteroffensive last summer...they should have been able to replenish enough for another one unless their losses are substantially higher than they are admitting. Or they could just be waiting for more western hardware to be able to do something more decisive. Hard to tell through the Fog....

Could also be less low hanging fruit for a Ukrainian offensive since Russia has put more into preparing for counter attacks. I think Ukraine was in no position to launch successful counter attacks last summer but they did so because they discovered epic blunders by the Russian military created unique opportunities to exploit. Eventually, Ukraine was going to need fundamental advantage to reliably push new offensives if Russia stopped making these openings.

[pchang]

Russia was arrogant and had not prepared any defensive measures last summer. I'm pretty sure that is no longer the case.

[Dinner]

Russia was arrogant and had not prepared any defensive measures last summer. I'm pretty sure that is no longer the case.

Unfortunately, that is true according to several reports I have read. Now, defensive fortifications can be breeched but it will likely take time. So rapid advanced seem less likely to me but who knows?

[Dinner]

Things sure don't sound good for Russia though.

https://youtu.be/J7bDl2PRpZ4

[Berzerker]

Who is that? The background flag doesn't inspire confidence in his objectivity.

[Dinner]

Intensified Ukrainian missile strikes on Russian bases in the South seems to indicate they are trying to soften up Russians prior to a southern offensive.

https://youtu.be/o4WQjiTOUss

[Dinner]

Who is that? The background flag doesn't inspire confidence in his objectivity.

Jake Broe. He is definitely pro-Ukraine but he uses good sources which can be checked independently if one has questions.

[Serb]

Where is the option to "f*ck itself?"

[Serb]

Like a complete beggars and degenerates what they really are?

[PLATO]

Where is the option to "f*ck itself?"

Invasion of Bananastan option

[Serb]

Thanks!