Developments #3 - Spain

[Bereta_Eder]

As I have surely predicted one after one nations fall in line to align the will of the people with their governments.

After Greece and its spectacular power change, came Portugal.

Now comes Spain. Podemos #2 in elections probably with socialists kicking the rightists out.


The video of merkel learning it (real video) is hilarious but I can't find it now because I have to go out and eat (it's business)


Meanwhile the IMF is on its way out since the tides are rising.

One by one they fall.

[Bereta_Eder]

Honorary mention goes to Italy, even though it stayed old school it realinged itself with us.

[Bereta_Eder]

Ah here it is.


Rahoi:Podemos are going to be second

(the idea was that they would have been eliminated)

Merkel: what? second?


hahahah! Yeah, you'll not be talking to him after today

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sk_yrT70BVw

[Bereta_Eder]

Now that I see it, that polish guy's expression is even more hilarious. (his grandad was a nazi you know. But he says he didn't know it. Out of the magnanimity of our hearts we believe him)

[Bereta_Eder]

2:34 rahoi hitting it

[Bereta_Eder]

And where it all started (includes imminent swift in external relations, evaluation of current european affairs, ukraine/russia as well and respect and admiration for syriza - first blood. All in convenient english format)

[Ecthy]

With only minutes to go until exit polls, I call laughable on your prediction. Podemos, while in a polling rally this past week, will not come in second, but third or fourth. No matter how strong they come in, Rajoy will remain in office, probably in coalition with Ciudadanos (new centrist / conservative party making a much stronger show in polls than Podemos).

I'm not saying this is a good thing for Spain, or the people, or the workers. What I'm saying is that your mix-up of wishful thinking and cherry picking statements from individuals makes for sh!t analysis and predictions. Also, you don't have a clue what leftism is about. "Will of the people" my arse.

[Ecthy]

Correction: after taking another look at the polls, Podemos will be in third, before Ciudadanos, who in turn will still be strong enough to keep Rajoy alive.

[Bereta_Eder]

Check your facts again

[Bereta_Eder]

exit polls right now:

podemos #2.

(prediction in post #1)

[Bereta_Eder]

pas mal for a party that some years ago didn't even exist

[Ecthy]

Sondeo TVE: PP 114-118, PSOE 81-85, Podemos 76-80 y Ciudadanos 47-50

Podemos #3 as predicted by me, albeit much closer to PSOE than I thought. Conservatives (PP) lost many seats, as everybody expected. A coalition of PP and Ciudadanos will not be sufficient, so either labour (PSOE) will do a Steinmeier and join a PP government, or I don't know what else. Minor parties are not included in this count, otherwise coalition forming would be much easier.

[Ecthy]

pas mal for a party that some years ago didn't even exist

The expectations for Podemos had become much higher in the meantime. I would say, not bad for a party that until 2 weeks ago was predicted to be far behind C's.

[Bereta_Eder]

The socialists 79 to 85 sits and podemos another 70 to 80.
Rahoi 114 to 124 sits and ciudadnos 46-50 sits

176 sits required to form a gov

[Ecthy]

Now noticing another exit poll, which has Podemos slightly ahead of PSOE in percentage of the popular vote, although this may not translate into seats.