Ron Paul takes the lead in Iowa.

[KrazyHorse]

Legalizing dope
Not starting wars
Looser money

[HalfLotus]

Markets and GOP voters are fickle. Santorum's intrade was pitiful until very recently. His support will evaporate once he gets vetted and people realize he's a joke of a conservative.

Long way to go 'til the convention.

[kentonio]

He's not, you ****ing idiot. He is exceeding expectations. That is the whole point of listening to markets rather than whatever source you're listening to.

EVERYBODY IS AN AMATEUR compared to markets.

Except that this far from an election, it is literally a completely pointless prediction with absolutely no validity.

Intrade would be the same place that had McCain beating Obama by 52.5-46.8 in the middle of September 2008 right?

Oh and if this is what you call 'exceeeding expectations' for the man who was supposed to be a shoe in for the nomination, then that says an awful lot about the weakness of the candidate.

[KrazyHorse]

Paul repub nominee: 2.9-4.4%

[KrazyHorse]

Except that this far from an election, it is literally a completely pointless prediction with absolutely no validity.

Feel free to put your money on it then, you ****ing ****.

[kentonio]

Feel free to put your money on it then, you ****ing ****.

I'd happily put money on an Obama win. The entire primary campaign has been the search for a candidate who isn't Mitt Romney. You think they're suddenly going to be energized to get the vote out if he does take the nomination?

[KrazyHorse]

Romney nominee 79.5-81.8
Obama president 50.4-50.5
Ignoring reality because you want to believe something else: priceless

[KrazyHorse]

I'd happily put money on an Obama win. The entire primary campaign has been the search for a candidate who isn't Mitt Romney. You think they're suddenly going to be energized to get the vote out if he does take the nomination?

Do it then, you ****ing ****.

[kentonio]

Romney nominee 79.5-81.8
Obama president 50.4-50.5
Ignoring reality because you want to believe something else: priceless

Nope, you're right that I ****ed that one up. Its 4am here and I thought you were arguing a Romney win. My bad.

[Felch]

Legalizing dope
Not starting wars
Looser money

Yeah, I really don't understand the whole gold standard thing. It makes me think of old Fallout, when there was a set amount of cash in the world, and you'd be stuck carrying a bunch of guns around just to barter. I mean, a gun based economy is awesome in a way, but it's not very convenient.

[Guynemer]

I can't believe Santorum--****ing RICK "frothy lube anal sex etc" SANTORUM--could win this thing.

[KrazyHorse]

It's Iowa. Who cares?

[KrazyHorse]

If it's any comfort, romney iowa 85-89, santorum iowa 11-18

[Guynemer]

It's Iowa. Who cares?

It just doesn't speak well of us as a nation.

There is still an optimistic sucker deep inside me, and this is not helping its continued existence.


Nor has the recent turn the Sugar Bowl has taken helped.

[KrazyHorse]

Santorum bouncing all over the place. Romney steady around 80