CanPol: May(?) 2011 Election. Vote today!

[Fake Boris]

I hope so.

Politics are dirty. It may not be Ekos, but it's still someone paying, and there are symptoms of an orchestrated campaign.

Edit: It's commonplace that polling companies are "associated" to a party. Léger & Léger in Quebec is known to overestimate Lib vote 2-5%.

[KrazyHorse]

IDK if push polls are illegal in CAN. Probably.

[Asher]

I hope so.

Politics are dirty. It may not be Ekos, but it's still someone paying, and there are symptoms of an orchestrated campaign.

Edit: It's commonplace that polling companies are "associated" to a party. Léger & Léger in Quebec is known to overestimate Lib vote 2-5%.

Nanos is known to overestimate Libs also.

[notyoueither]

I thought that was EKOS.

[Fake Boris]

Parizeau intervenes in the Bloc campaign; symptom of panic.

Hardcore separatists represent 35% of the vote. The Bloc only appeals to them unequivocally when there are signs they could dip below that 35% in voters' intentions.

[Asher]

I thought that was EKOS.

Maybe. One of them.

[notyoueither]

Looks like we get an interesting election.

The final week of campaigning sees the Liberals and Bloc playing defence while Harper attacks in Ontario, Layton in Quebec, and they fight it out with each other in BC.

I have a feeling it will come down to Ontario and BC. That should be an interesting change for people in British Columbia.

[Wezil]

The NDP is rapidly outdistancing the Liberals and has whittled the Conservative lead to single digits – a level of support that would see Jack Layton win 100 seats on May 2, says the latest poll from EKOS Research.

Under that scenario, the NDP would still come in second in seat count to the Conservatives, but the support of the third-place Liberals would give Mr. Layton a working majority in the House of Commons.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-notebook/terra-incognita-poll-projects-100-seats-for-surging-ndp/article1998361/

Did anyone notice a severe temperature drop? 2012 is just around the corner.

[Fake Boris]

Holy ****ing ****

[Wezil]

Not my preferred way of seeing the ass-end of Harper...but I'll take it.

[Fake Boris]

If Canada freezes over... then we'll know that Hell was colder than we thought.

[Fake Boris]

Back to serious business.

How many NDP candidates have sufficiently meaningful experience to occupy a cabinet position?

Right off the bat Mulcair was a provincial lib minister. Do they have ~20 Mulcairs?

[notyoueither]

Holy ****ing ****

Relax. That's EKOS. Frank Graves is an anti-Harper (usually Liberal) partisan. His seat projections are outragous.

[notyoueither]

He has the Bloc at 14 seats and the NDP at over 50 seats in Quebec.

A seat projection using the EKOS poll indicated the Conservatives would lose seats, dropping to 131, while the NDP would garner 100 seats, more than double its previous best result; more than half of those seats would come from Quebec. The Liberal caucus would be much reduced, falling to 62 seats. And the Bloc would be a shadow of itself, with a caucus of just 14 MPs.

[Fake Boris]

Would explain their outrageous polling question.