Originally posted by Ramo
At the same time ~40-45% of the electorate already hates her and won't vote for her. They'll try to smear Obama, but I think he'll hold up fine. Frankly, I'm pretty sure the Dems will win regardless of who's nominated. In any other year it's likely that the difference between an Obama and a Hillary would by relatively small, but 2008 looks like another wave year, and I want to maximize Dem gains down ticket. Maybe get a filibuster-proof Senate by 2010 so we can actually see universal health care.
At the same time ~40-45% of the electorate already hates her and won't vote for her. They'll try to smear Obama, but I think he'll hold up fine. Frankly, I'm pretty sure the Dems will win regardless of who's nominated. In any other year it's likely that the difference between an Obama and a Hillary would by relatively small, but 2008 looks like another wave year, and I want to maximize Dem gains down ticket. Maybe get a filibuster-proof Senate by 2010 so we can actually see universal health care.
Interestingly, in one on one matchups so far, while Obama does somewhat better than Hillary against McCain, Romney, and Thompson, Hillary does better against Giuliani than Obama - and Giuliani is the GOP's best candidate. Im not quite sure what thats about.
I would also suggest that a substance focused campaign is more likely to have coattails than one focused heavily on personality.
I believe its at least as likely that Hillary can reintroduce herself to the center, as Obama can hold up under the GOP attack.
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