World Cup Prediction Thread - Group Stage

[Cort Haus]

It should be pointed out that Alva predicted 0-0 for all of the first seventeen games. An interesting strategy, but a pessimistic forecast.

[Locutus]

Actually they've been sucking badly for some time now, I was just expecting Ecuador to suck worse. Both have had absolutely atrocious practice campaigns leading up to today's match.

[Cort Haus]

Originally posted by Solver
Well it wasn't easy to predict that Poland would suck this badly...

Well, 10/24 people predicted that Poland wouldn't win this game, but they did have a terrible WC last time round.

[Dauphin]

Rank, Name, Total points, Results predicted, Scores predicted.


Rank	Name			Total	Results	Scores	
1	Serb			4	2	0
2	Agathon			2	1	0
2	Al'Kimiya		2	1	0	
2	atawa			2	1	0	
2	C0ckney			2	1	0	
2	Cort Haus		2	1	0	
2	DanS			2	1	0	
2	Dauphin			2	1	0	
2	Daz			2	1	0	
2	duke o' york		2	1	0	
2	Ecthy			2	1	0	
2	Imran Siddiqui		2	1	0	
2	Kalius			2	1	0	
2	Lawrence of Arabia	2	1	0
2	lightblue		2	1	0	
2	Locutus			2	1	0
2	Sir Og			2	1	0	
2	siron			2	1	0	
2	Solver			2	1	0	
2	Victor Galis		2	1	0	
2	Wernazuma III		2	1	0	
22	alva			0	0	0	
22	CyberShy		0	0	0	
22	Hueij			0	0	0	
22	Winston			0	0	0

That should be right. Point it out if I'm wrong.


Some people need to post their predictions for Saturday's games, so hurry!

[Hueij]

You've got to be kidding. DanS already has more points than me?????

[siron]

Saturday 10th June:
England vs Paraguay (1500) 3-0
Trinidad and Tobago vs Sweden (1800) 0-2
Argentina vs Côte d'Ivoire (2100) 1-1

[Mr. President]

Is this the time when all you people admit that you know nothing about football?

[Cort Haus]

Originally posted by Mr. President
Is this the time when all you people admit that you know nothing about football?

Top trolling.

[Hueij]

From an American no less...

[OzzyKP]

Time for the dumb American to jump in uninvited and guess horribly. Unless its too late since the first day's games already happened. But I can assure you I haven't been paying attention, heh.

World champion:
Brazil (going along with the crowd)

Top scorer:
Pele?

Group A:
1: Costa Rica
2: Germany

Group B:
1: Paraguay
2: England

Group C:
1: Argentina
2: Netherlands

Group D:
1: Mexico
2: Portugal

Group E:
1: Italy
2: USA

Group F:
1: Brazil
2: Croatia

Group G:
1: France
2: South Korea

Group H:
1: Spain
2: Ukraine



The matches:

Saturday 10th June:
England vs Paraguay: 2-1
Trinidad and Tobago vs Sweden: 2-1
Argentina vs Côte d'Ivoire: 2-1

Sunday 11th June
Serbia and Montenegro vs Netherlands: 0-1
Mexico vs Iran (1800): 3-1
Angola vs Portugal (2100): 0-2

Monday 12th June
Italy vs Ghana (2100): 2-0
USA vs Czech Republic (1800): 1-0
Australia vs Japan (1500): 1-0

Tuesday 13th June
Brazil vs Croatia (2100): 2-1
France vs Switzerland (1800): 2-0
South Korea vs Togo (1500): 1-0

Wednesday 14th June
Spain vs Ukraine (1500): 2-1
Tunisia vs Saudi Arabia (1800):1-0
Germany vs Poland (2100): 3-1

Thursday 15th June
Ecuador vs Costa Rica (1500): 1-1
England vs Trinidad and Tobago (1800): 2-0
Sweden vs Paraguay (2100): 2-1

Friday 16th June
Argentina vs Serbia and Montenegro (1500): 3-1
Netherlands vs Côte d'Ivoire (1800) :1-1
Mexico vs Angola (2100): 3-1

Saturday 17th June
Portugal vs Iran (1500): 2-0
Italy vs USA (2100): 2-1
Czech Republic vs Ghana (1800): 2-0

Sunday 18th June
Brazil vs Australia (1800): 3-0
Japan vs Croatia (1500): 0-1
France vs South Korea (2100): 2-2

Monday 19th June
Togo vs Switzerland (1500): 1-0
Spain vs Tunisia (2100): 2-0
Saudi Arabia vs Ukraine (1800) :1-2

Tuesday 20th June
Ecuador vs Germany (1600) :1-3
Costa Rica vs Poland (1600): 2-1
Sweden vs England (2100) :1-3
Paraguay vs Trinidad and Tobago (2100): 2-0

Wednesday 21st June
Netherlands vs Argentina (2100): 0-2
Côte d'Ivoire vs Serbia and Montenegro (2100): 1-2
Portugal vs Mexico (1600): 1-1
Iran vs Angola (1600): 0-1

Thursday 22nd June
Czech Republic vs Italy (1600): 0-1
Ghana vs USA (1600): 1-2
Japan vs Brazil (2100): 0-2
Croatia vs Australia (2100): 1-0

Friday 23rd June
Togo vs France (2100): 0-2
Switzerland vs South Korea (2100): 0-1
Saudi Arabia vs Spain (1600): 0-2
Ukraine vs Tunisia (1600): 1-0

[Hueij]

Top scorer:
Pele?

This alone should net you 50 points

[OzzyKP]

Yay, I win!!

[Cort Haus]

Are people are allowed to play this game by submitting predictions each day, instead of before the whole tournament? That seems unfair to me.

It's clearly an advantage to be able to assess performances in the tournament and then use that as a basis for predictions. So, having seen all the group A teams yesterday, people making submissions now are better placed to estimate performances for the remaining group games.

To respond, everybody who made the early predictions would have to be able to change them, based on each passing days results and news. This sounds like a lot of work for any administration and analysis of the prediction data.

Because I wanted to see everyone's guesses together I spent two hours fiddling with the data in Excel last night, so I could post the reports I did, and had intended to for the remaining games, but if the data is to be continually edited and revised, then it'll be too much work.

If Dauphin doesn't mind constantly editing his copy of the data then OK, but I won't be able to maintain my data set.

A seperate prediction league, based on having seen each of the teams play their first game, might be good. Personally I haven't been studying the form of all the sides prior to the tournament, nor have I seen them all play. In past years I've enjoyed making predictions based on seeing everybody once in tournament conditions, which is a more informed estimate than the relative crap-shoot of pre-tournament predictions.

[OzzyKP]

Well people who guess late are losing out on a chance for points in the first round or two.

Plus for my part I have little more than a hazy idea who played on the first day, let alone who won. But I won't make a fuss if I'm disqualified, I don't want to unbalance stuff. (unless you guys are just scared of an American.... )

[Locutus]

Originally posted by Cort Haus
Are people are allowed to play this game by submitting predictions each day, instead of before the whole tournament? That seems unfair to me.

It's not unfair, it's stupid not to do it. If you don't even know who's playing, how can you reasonably predict the outcome?