"arc of career" does matter... if a guy has 3 or 4 good years, then sucks for 10 years... he's not going in the hall... period.
If his final statistics are good enough, then he will be entering the Hall, even if he only had 3-4 good years and was average for the rest, such as Richie Ashburn (who also doesn't deserve to be in the Hall, mind). Or even worse, Luis Aparicio, who had ONE good year.
Jose was a roided up monster. So was McGwire. That's why they won't be making the Hall. Jose wouldn't have anyways. But that's because he didn't make the arbitrary 500 homer mark. Also, besides hitting homers (the product of his steroid use), he wasn't very good.
Canseco was the best player of the late 80s. He was able to hit HRs consistently in the twilight of his career. You may consider it the product of steroid use, but how many people have used amphetamines, steroids, etc, who are currently in the Hall? Hell, Hank Aaron used to chug down red juice (ie, liquid amphetamines).
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